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Industrial Production during Economic Expansions

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On July 30, 2003 @ 11:37 am In Finance | Comments Disabled

post recession.gif
SOURCE: Chart of the Day [1]

The average trend in industrial production during the first 24 months of every economic expansion from 1954 to 2000. For comparison, the chart also includes industrial production for the expansion that began in March 1991, as well as the current expansion that began in November 2001.

The chart shows the present anemic economic expansion. Chart of the Day notes that “industrial production is one of a handful of indicators that the NBER uses to date recessions and the overall trend has been down since July 2002.”

This chart provokes thinking along two specific lines: First, this recovery is one of the most feeble post recessionary periods we’ve seen since WWII. Secondly, from a broader perspective, it confirms the overall trend of the country’s economic base moving away from manufacturing and towards service oriented businesses. (See Not-so-Random Items below for a variety of articles on this topic).

Not-so-Random Items
One in 10 U.S. Tech Jobs May Move Overseas, Report Says [2]
How outsourcing will save the world [3]
I.B.M. Explores Shift of White-Collar Jobs Overseas [4]
U.S. jobs jumping ship [5]


Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog

URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2003/07/industrial-production-during-economic-expansions/

URLs in this post:

[1] Chart of the Day: http://www.chartoftheday.com/20030730.htm

[2] One in 10 U.S. Tech Jobs May Move Overseas, Report Says: http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=581&ncid=581&e=1&u=/nm/20030729/tc_nm/tech_jobs_dc

[3] How outsourcing will save the world: http://www.salon.com/tech/feature/2003/07/08/outsourcing_save_the_world/print.html

[4] I.B.M. Explores Shift of White-Collar Jobs Overseas: http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/22/technology/22JOBS.html?ex=1059871927&ei=1&en=b4d0ef5418b14b97

[5] U.S. jobs jumping ship: http://money.cnn.com/2003/07/22/news/economy/jobless_offshore/index.htm

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