The VIX measures the volatility of index option prices listed on the CBOE. Like the put/call ratio, it is a measure of investor sentiment. In the rare cases when the VIX moves above 45, it reflects major angst in the market, indicating an advantageous buying juncture; At times when it drops beneath certain levels, it indicates complacency.

Yesterday, Gary B. Smith ran this graphic on RealMoney, and I agree with his perspective:

VIX.gif

Source: Realmoney.com

The Volatility Index is often called the fear indicator; When investors are nervous, they often hedge their positions through option buying; When they are too complacent, they ignore hedging alternatives.

Click on chart for larger image . . . Source:Stockcharts.com
vIX his

Look to buy peaks above 50; When the VIX drops below the 18-20 range, it suggests a complacent market due for a reversal.

URLs: Realmoney.com

http://www.thestreet.com/p//rmoney/techforumrm/10108780.html

Stockcharts.com

Category: Finance

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

One Response to “VIX signal”

  1. Yasser says:

    There is of course the problem of the Heisenberg Principle: The fact that everyone and their sister is watching the VIX alters the reliability of its signals.

    Also, it’s quite possible that the ‘smart money’ recognizes that the market is ripe for a reversal, but they’re waiting for the market to confirm the VIX’s sell signal. Ironically, as the smart money waits, the market simply drifts higher.