While the polls bounce around, I’ve discovered a few sites with permanent links to consistently informative data. These pages have distinguished themselves:

1) electoral vote.com:

Simply a graphic depiction of these here United States, with polling data broken down by states and their electoral votes. See this chart as an example:

Click for larger graphic
ev_aug06
graphic courtesy of electoral vote.com

The Electoral Vote Predictor right now shows Kerry at 280, and Bush at 258. These numbers fluctuate quite frequently as Florida and Ohio vacillates between “Barely Kerry” and “Barely Bush.”

2) Professor Pollkatz

The good prof has a terrific, meticulous scatter chart of ALL the polling data; Its never the single data point, and always the trend that matters most.

Here’s a recent example:

Click for larger graphic
pollkatzmainGRAPHICS_8911_image001
graphic courtesy of pollkatz

See also the Professor’s analysis of which pollsters have the greatest “Fudge Factors

3) Polling Report: bills itself as “an independent, nonpartisan resource on trends in American public opinion.” I think thats a good description. There’s a wealth of data here that is simply very accessable and quite usable.

Click for larger graphic
FOXfav
graphic courtesy of Polling Report

Be sure to check out their National Barometer Trend Lines also.

4) Real Clear Politics

How could I forget RCP? Their list of all the polls out there provides a numerical snapshot (compared with Pollkatz’s graphical view) of the race. Terrific resource.

Click for larger graphic
rcp_polls
Graphic courtesy of Real Clear Politics

There are only two mainstream media sites included here: The Washington Post, and the Wall Street Journal.

5) The Washington Post has a permanent link that tracks a variety of issues, as well as providing detailed data of their methodology.

Click for larger graphic
chartingCandidates_top8
Graphic courtesy of The Washington Post

See also this link for their recent graph.

6) The WSJ gets included, despite having a not quite permanent link. They offer terrific perspectives and charts on the Battleground Swing States:

Click for larger graphic
200_infobattleground040802map
Graphic courtesy of WSJ

There’s some more commentary on the post convention Journal report here.

Sources:
electoral vote.com

http://electoral-vote.com/

Professor Pollkatz

http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/

Polling Report

http://www.pollingreport.com/

Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/charting.html

WSJ: Battlegrounds States Poll – August 2, 2004

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04-1006print.html

Category: Politics

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

7 Responses to “Presidential Polling Data Resources”

  1. BOPnews says:

    5 Presidential Polling Resources Worth Watching

    While the polls bounce around, I’ve discovered a few sites with permanent links to consistently informative data. These pages have distinguished themselves: 1) electoral vote.com: Simply a graphic depiction of these here United States, with polling dat…

  2. BOPnews says:

    5 Presidential Polling Resources Worth Watching

    While the polls bounce around, I’ve discovered a few sites with permanent links to consistently informative data. These pages have distinguished themselves: 1) electoral vote.com: Simply a graphic depiction of these here United States, with polling dat…

  3. You may also be interested in this: I’ve posted my latest survey of Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection sites here.

    Executive summary: of the 28 sites surveyed, 21 show Kerry winning, and 4 others show him ahead. Three sites show Bush winning. The approximate average of all sites is Kerry 296 – Bush 242.

  4. PoliBlog(TM) says:

    It’s the Carnival of the Capitalists

    Welcome to the Carnival of the Capitalists Only fools pay retail. –Ferengi Rule of Aquisition #141. Dale Franks of QandO: More on Taxation, complete with a shameless plug Travis McMenimon: Odyssey of the Mind: Make the Connection…It’s All About the…

  5. PoliBlog(TM) says:

    It’s the Carnival of the Capitalists

    Welcome to the Carnival of the Capitalists Only fools pay retail. –Ferengi Rule of Aquisition #141. Dale Franks of QandO: More on Taxation, complete with a shameless plug Travis McMenimon: Odyssey of the Mind: Make the Connection…It’s All About the…

  6. PoliBlog(TM) says:

    It’s the Carnival of the Capitalists

    Welcome to the Carnival of the Capitalists Only fools pay retail. –Ferengi Rule of Aquisition #141. Dale Franks of QandO: More on Taxation, complete with a shameless plug Travis McMenimon: Odyssey of the Mind: Make the Connection…It’s All About the…

  7. PoliBlog says:

    The Final Slice: It’s the Election Day Toast-O-Meter

    –Rounding-up, analyzing and handicapping the 2004 election–

    Texas Toast or French Toast?Tracking the race to the White House.

    FINALLY: It’s Time to Serve the Toast

    After a campaign season that started in 1812 (ok, it actually started in ea…