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Bush vs Kerry: Technical Breakout?

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On September 9, 2004 @ 10:40 am In Politics | Comments Disabled

My friend Gary B. Smith [1] is a technical analyst and trader. He also writes a very popular column for TheStreet.com, and is the Chartman on Fox’s Bulls & Bears [2].

Today, Gary answers an interesting reader question about chart analysis and the election:

“Have you tried to apply charting techniques to election poll results to predict election results?”

GBS [3] responds:

“Well, not until today. But, here’s my take which looks to give Kerry the edge!”

click for larger chart
gbs_on_bush_v_kerry [4]

Note that Gary supports the incumbent.

Readers of this blog know I do not put much stock into the thinly traded Iowa futures or tradesports. But GBS raises an interesting issue: Is it the raw numbers, or the trend that matters most?


Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog

URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2004/09/bush-vs-kerry-technical-breakout/

URLs in this post:

[1] Gary B. Smith: http://find.thestreet.com/cgi-bin/texis/rmauthor/?au=A0000371

[2] Fox’s Bulls & Bears: http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,104879,00.html

[3] GBS: http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/techforumrm/10182017.html

[4] Image: http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/images/gbs_on_bush_v_kerry1.html

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