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Chart of the Week: Leading Indicators Trend Downwards

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On March 17, 2005 @ 2:07 pm In Economy,Markets | Comments Disabled

Leading Economic Indicators increased m/m 0.1% in February
after negative numbers in January, October, September, August, and July. Since
these are leading indicators, they point to a slowing beginning starting around
February. Half of the 10 index components were up this month. which compares to
3 in January, 5 in December, 7 in November, 2 in October, 4 in September, 4 in
August, and 3 in July.

Leading Indicators Trend Downwards
click for larger chart
Lei_march_05 [1]

Source: MFR [2]

Prior economic forecasts by Wall Street have been as high as
4.5-5% (annualized real GDP growth). The recent LEI point to weak GDP growth.


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Quote of the Day:

"Not the maker of plans and promises, but rather the one who offers
faithful service in small matters. This is the person who is most likely to
achieve what is good and lasting."   

~Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe [8] (1749-1832)

Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog

URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2005/03/chart-of-the-week-leading-indicators-trend-downwards/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://bigpicture.typepad.com/.shared/image.html?/photos/uncategorized/lei_march_05.jpg

[2] MFR: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog http://www.mfr.com/

[3] Why You Should Own Gold & Dollars  : http://www.safehaven.com/article-2622.htm

[4] Making the Bull’s Case and the Bear’s Case: http://www.investorsinsight.com/article.asp?id=jmotb031405

[5] Vanguard ETFs go global: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7BA2FEDB67%2D6BF5%2D4C5A%2D9CA1%2DFD0389021B32%7D&siteid=mktw&dist=

[6] Startups Are Missing the Mac Opportunity: http://www.business2.com/b2/web/articles/0,17863,1037957,00.html

[7] High Definition and the future of viewing: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2005/03/08/hd_and_hdtv_analysis/

[8] Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe: http://www.kirjasto.sci.fi/goethe.htm

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