The Online WSJ has a nice index of reports in their Economic Calendar, which I believe is not subscription only (let me know in the comments if I am wrong).

Have a look at this chart — if you follow the trendline, it suggests that 200k is a very doable number for the February jobs data.

click for larger chart


Source: WSJ/

The number is released at 8:30am — when I will be in a meeting; I’ll try to get a comment up (regardless of whether I am right or wrong) when I get back.

Something amazing about long term charts of anything: the day-to-day gyrations, which at the time cause so much anxiety, seem almost "orderly" when viewed from a distance with a moving average.

Even the 1987 crash is just a small blip on a longer chart . . .

Category: Economy

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

One Response to “Nonfarm Payroll data: 15 year chart”

  1. rich says:

    it is a subscription link