An emailer asks:   

"There
is one extra detail that keeps gnawing at me, relating to the oil
pullback:

I am trying to get good numbers on the oil additions to the strategic
petroleum reserve. From what I see, it is maintaining one-off demand for
500,000 to 1 million bpd. I hear that these purchases will slow or stop
soon (summer?) so I conclude that if this is true, it will affect the
demand/supply equation and the resulting price of oil. It could cause an
unexpected kicker down and really pull in believers during an economic
slowdown before oil prices resume their growth, especially if it ends up
as a popular news story."    
-DM

Here is the 411 on the Strategic Petroleum Reserve:

"Only about 100,000 barrels a day go into the United States reserves
out of worldwide consumption of 82 million barrels. The United States
consumes about 20 million barrels of oil a day, or about a quarter of
global consumption, so at its current level of about 671 million barrels,
the reserves would provide the equivalent of just two months of crude
imports."       
-
Cryptome

Do the math:  100,000 barrels per day stored out of a daily consumption of 20 million is approximately  0.5% (1/2 of 1%) — whileit may have some impact on the margins, it is a relatively insignificant
factor.

Incidentally, there is a lot of good info on the SPR at Cryptome.

>
UPDATE: April 28, 2005   10:52pm

Apparently, Petrol deliveries are still scheduled right through August 2005

Category: Commodities

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

2 Responses to “But what of the SPR?”

  1. Toni Straka says:

    maybe this is of help to you:
    http://www2.spr.doe.gov/DIR/SilverStream/Pages/pgDailyInventoryReportViewDOE_new.html
    I stumbled about it when looking for material to write an own piece about the SPR
    rgds
    Toni

  2. Ken Houghton says:

    While the magnitude may be small, the signaling value would likely be a multiplier of that. Otherwise, there’s nothing “strategic” about increasing the reserve.

    (As an aside, many of the people who dismissed the GS report with “Bush would sell the SPR if Oil hit $105″ were probably claiming that the SPR would be opened at $50 in the days when hitting $30 was considered high–you know, ca. 2002?)