Is China a leading or lagging indicator? (Possibly both).

China M2 Money Supply vs. Chinese GDP
click for larger chart

Chinagdp_edit_2

Source: Michael
Panzner

Money Supply softening in China could precede a slowdown in the manufacturing giant’s economy. The upside is that Chinese Central Bankers remain as concerned about inflation as the Fed. The downside is they probably are just as impotent to stop it.
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Quote of the Day:

"I prefer to be true to myself, even at the hazard of incurring the
ridicule of others, rather than to be false, and to incur my own
abhorrence."

~ Frederick Douglass

Category: Economy, Markets, Technical Analysis

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

3 Responses to “Chart of the Week: China M2 Money Supply vs. Chinese GDP”

  1. spencer says:

    With Chinese growth so extremely dependent on investment the economy could slow a lot quicker then may believe.

  2. dsquared says:

    Oop. Negative Marshallian “k” is usually very bad news in Asia.

  3. zac says:

    actually, china will do a lot better job managing the soft-landing than japan ever could– the reason is that China is from the getgo an economy and country that understands interdependencies and its place in a larger sphere of existence that the japanese were too closeminded to see.