Between the office move and the markets lately, I didn’t get a chance to address the new iPods/iPhone. Let’s do that now.
Back in January,
I noted why I did not think the iPhone would cannibalize the iPod: Apple would migrate the touchscreen downstream to the smaller
and non iPhone "pods." Nine months ago, I noted it was only a matter of time before Apple would bring out a touchscreen (non-phone) iPod.
Well, that came to pass.
As to the rest, I got some of the new products, prices and capacities right. I got some aspects wrong. Back in January, I estimated what Apple’s products and price points might look like.
Here is a comparison with those forecast and the actual products:
|Product||Pricepoint||Actual Product||Actual Pricepoint|
| Apple iPhone
| iPod touchscreen*
|$379/329|| iPod touch
| iPod "Classic"
|$279/229|| iPod Classic
| iPod Nano
|$199/139|| iPod Video Nano
|Shuffle 1 GB||$59||Shuffle 1 GB||$79|
First, it turns out that my estimates of 12-18 months was off — it only took nine months. Second, I wildly under-estimated the capacity of the classic iPods. Third, I wildly over-estimated the capacity of all the flash based iPods and iPhones.
But I did get many of the products, names and pricing pretty darned close.
The WSJ has an interesting history of all the iPods, and Apple’s stock price:
click for larger graphic
BTW, if you want to have a laugh, go to Amazon and search for the the existing iPods — an 80 Gig iPod is $349 . . .
UPDATE: September 6, 2007 7:32pm
To Amazon’s credit, any search for iPod also includes this result: New iPods
Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.