Call it revenge of the rumor mongers: So far this year, Warren Buffett has been wrongly named as an acquirer seven times. In five of those instances, the stocks are now lower, with all but one down considerably.
Last week, we noted how unlikely it was (Buffett to Buy Bear? Bull$%*#) that Buffett would be an acquirer or even a major investor in Bear Stearns (BSC).
False rumors are no basis for an investing strategy — but this pattern, according to Bloomberg’s David Wilson, suggests that Bear Stearns has more downside to come:
"Speculation that Warren Buffett would come to the aid of Bear Stearns Cos., the fifth-largest U.S. securities firm, may be a signal to sell its shares.
Bear Stearns is the seventh company named as a potential target for an investment or acquisition by Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. this year, Bloomberg News reports show. There’s no evidence so far that the billionaire investor followed through on any of the others, and the reticence allowed him to avoid losses.
Five of the companies — USG Corp., New York Times Co., Zurich Financial Services AG, Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. and Countrywide Financial Corp., in that order — trade at lower prices now than they were when the speculation surfaced . . ."
These rumored companies have fallen from 7.2% to down 41%:
|Company||Performance since Buffett Rumor|
|Zurich Financial Services||-2.5%|
|New York Times||-26%|
|Hovnanian Enterprises Inc.||-41%|
Wilson adds: "As the fourth quarter unfolds, Bear Stearns shares may be fated to fall."
Indeed . . .
Buffett Sell Signal, Trading-Only ETF, Starbucks Call
Bloomberg, Sept. 28 2007
Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.