Sept S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index fell 4.9% y/o/y, the biggest drop
since the data began in 1988 — but in-line with expectations. It’s the
9th straight month of declines. Lower house prices will help to clear out excess inventories (a lot much more than rate cuts).

Here’s the money quote from Shiller:

"The declines in the national figure are notable for two reasons. First, the 3rd quarter decline, at 1.7%, was the largest quarterly decline in the index’s 21-year history. And, second, the year-over-year decline posted its second consecutive record low at -4.5%. Consistent with prior 2007 reports, there is no real positive news in today’s data. Most of the metro areas continue to show declining or decelerating returns on both an annual and monthly basis.

All 20 metro areas were in decline in September over August. Even the five metro areas that still have positive annual growth rates — Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Portland and Seattle — show continued deceleration in returns."

Here’s the metro overview:

S&P/Case-Shiller Index Release – September 2007 Index


Table courtesy of Tradition Financial Services, Inc. / TFS Derivatives

S&P/Case-Shiller Home U.S. National Home Price Index Posts a Record Annual
Decline in the 3rd Quarter of 2007

S&P, Nov 27, 2007 09:00 AM EST PDF

Category: Data Analysis, Real Estate

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

8 Responses to “Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts Record Annual Decline”

  1. michael schumacher says:

    totally lost in all the euphoria over bailing out more banks…..

    Guess it will not matter until it drops off the current axis.

    Here’s something I heard yesterday at the bank:

    “You mean we have a housing problem??-

  2. edhopper says:

    Hey Greenspan, it looks like a little of the froth has been blown off the housing market. jeez!

  3. jg says:

    Barry, I’d use bars, not lines, for the graph; YOY changes warrant bars, as they are discrete measures. If you were plotting the index of home values, a continuous measure, I’d use a line, then. JMO.

  4. ScrewBush says:

    I assume the optimistic headline covering this will be:

    Home Prices Match Expectations!

  5. P. Jackson says:

    Barry – TFS got the DC numbers wrong…they’ve issued a correction that is probably in your email box. Just a small FYI – (I believe it was -1.7 percent?)

  6. Sippn says:

    20 years of data does not history make. I always ask my teenager for the “historical” perspective.

  7. Snarky says:

    I guess this can’t be good news, huh?

  8. Resonance says:

    The Winnebago Bellwether

    I’ve read (here and elsewhere) that economists have collectively failed to accurately predict a recession in the past 40 years. So where should we turn to peer into an economic crystal ball? Perhaps the nimble Winnebago. Yes, seriously:Winnebago Indust…