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Two Dollars/share, or an “Orderly Liquidation” ?
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On March 16, 2008 @ 9:01 pm In Corporate Management,Credit,Derivatives,M&A | Comments Disabled
You call this a rescue?
Bear Stearns Cos. reached an agreement to sell itself to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., as worries grew that failing to find a buyer for the beleaguered investment bank could cause the crisis of confidence gripping Wall Street to worsen.
The deal calls for J.P. Morgan to pay $2 a share in a stock-swap transaction, with J.P. Morgan Chase exchanging 0.05473 share of its common stock for each Bear Stearns share. Both companies’ boards have approved the transaction, which values Bear Stearns at just $236 million based on the number of shares outstanding as of Feb. 16. At Friday’s close, Bear Stearns’s stock-market value was about $3.54 billion. It finished at $30 a share in 4 p.m. New York Stock Exchange composite trading Friday.
This was not a bailout of any sort.
What the NY Fed did was allow for an orderly liquidation. The Fed is providing the liquidity for JPM’s Bear unwind, guaranteeing a good chunk of the debt:
"The central bank also approved the financing of JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s purchase of Bear Stearns Cos., including support for as much as $30 billion of Bear’s assets."
What does THAT mean? "Support for as much as $30 billion of Bear’s assets." Who is buying this — the Fed, or JPM ?
Truly, an amazing development.
This whole affair raises many more questions than it answers:
• What sort of due diligence did British billionaire Joseph Lewis do prior to picking up 6% of Bear ?
• The Fed cut 25 bps  at the Discount Window Sunday night — what is THAT gonna do?
• Goldman Sachs Group will announce asset writedowns of about $3 billion this week  — what else is out there in terms of iBank write downs?
• Nikkei off 3.6%  in early trading; Dow Futures off 240, S&P 500 down -32.70, NASDAQ down -38.25
• Of all the firms most similar to Bear Stearns, one name keeps coming: Lehman Bros  (LEH)
What more will we learn tomorrow?
U.S. Fed Cuts Discount Rate, Says Dealers May Borrow 
Bloomberg, March 16 2008
A Stake Through the Heart 
Bear’s Biggest Holders May Have Little Choice But to Cut Their Losses
CASSELL BRYAN-LOW and KATE KELLY
WSJ, March 17, 2008
J.P. Morgan Rescues Bear Stearns 
U.S. Pushed Deal To Avert Crisis; A Fire-Sale Price
WSJ March 17, 2008
Goldman Sachs to reveal $3bn hit 
By Mark Kleinman and Louise Armitstead
Telegraph, 12:07am GMT 16/03/2008
Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog
URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/03/two-dollarsshare-or-an-orderly-liquidation/
URLs in this post:
 6% of Bear: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120571021671940207.html
 cut 25 bps: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=asg0H5x.VQ4g&
 $3 billion this week: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2008/03/16/cngold116.xml
 Nikkei off 3.6%: http://online.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/mdc_international.html?mod=mdc_h_intlsctnhd&refresh=on
 one name keeps coming: Lehman Bros: http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/03/is-lehman-next.html
 J.P. Morgan Rescues Bear Stearns: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120569598608739825.html
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