The Fed is walking a tightrope between inflation and a recession, hoping to find its way to neutral. Bill Gross, of PIMCO, shares their insight.

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Bill_gross_june_08

Gross:

"There’s a lot of stress in the
financial markets. Let’s face it, this economy, the US economy and
even the global economy is delevering, and when an economy delevers there are
substantial problems and substantial risks.

"We’ve seen a lot of that. We’ve
seen writeoffs in the hundreds of billions of dollars with more to come. But
yeah, there’s a lot of tenuous action in the financial markets these days and I
expect more of it."

Source:
Gross: Fed Will Hold Steady for Rest of Year
CNBC.com | 25 Jun 2008 | 03:20 PM ET
http://www.cnbc.com/id/25372572/site/14081545

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Video

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

7 Responses to “Bill Gross on Inflation & Recession”

  1. Troy says:

    3:30-3:55, anchor’s playing a mean game of Tetris

  2. Chief Tomahawk says:

    Posted at 3:30 AM? Doesn’t the BP ever sleep?

    CNBC’s Worldwide Exchange just had on two Germans and an Austrian who were all bullish on gold. One called for $2,390, and another said $6,000 to $10,000 if the U.S. goes into Depression and that “the credibility of the U.S. Fed is in question”.

    For those keeping score, that was 3 out of 3 consecutive guests bullish on gold… (they were not on the same segment).

    And then there’s Bill Fleckenstein’s “Lord of Dark Matter” saying it’s “never been this bad” yesterday by phone to Fleck.

  3. Jim Haygood says:

    From the Marketwatch article on UMich consumer sentiment: “Nine of 10 [consumers] said the economy was in recession.”

    This is a self-fulfilling prophecy. If 9 of 10 consumers think the economy’s in recession, then it IS in recession.

    Government officials, Fedguvs and the pump monkeys will be the last to get a clue. By the time they wake up, the market may be effed up enough to buy.

  4. Unsympathetic says:

    The ironic problem with running his policy off of “inflation expectations” is that once they become unhinged, BB can’t turn a knob to fundamentally convince people inflation is now going to be contained. He should have been simply monitoring money supply (including credit) all along.

    As the saying goes, it works until it doesn’t.

  5. Jim Haygood says:

    Overlooked in this morning’s statistical dog’s breakfast was personal savings jumping to 5%, the highest since March 1995 — and up from 0.4% last month. Personal savings had even been negative for awhile last year.

    Classically, recession scares people into saving instead of spending. If a formerly negative savings rate pops to 5%, and consumers are 70% of GDP, then you’ve just subtracted (0.05 x 0.70) = 3.5% from real GDP. That’s a serious chunk, when real GDP allegedly is growing at 1% (and I think it’s already negative).

    And that’s how a garden-variety recession turns into a black-dog Depression.

    Savers are destroying America. SHOP, or we all drop!

  6. kenneth foster says:

    I see the unemployment stats are up but I also still see many high paying jobs posted on employment sites i.e.

    http://www.realmatch.com
    http://www.monster.com
    http://www.simplyhired.com

    There seems to be a strong demand for professionals desite the stats..believe me I have been looking for a new job and they are out there. Dont worry, all is not lost!

  7. ben says:

    if you don’t want to be in equities go with bill. Pimco total return has done well over the trailing 12.

    you’d think though with al those billions he’d get a better haircut.