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	<title>Comments on: 3X Exchange-Traded Funds</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/</link>
	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
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		<title>By: grashopa</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124856</link>
		<dc:creator>grashopa</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 03:39:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124856</guid>
		<description>Unfortunately SSO is not 2x SPY or the S&amp;P - on the way down you get 2x, but on the way up you get less than that.  Take a look at the intraday action 11/6, each rally was 1 for 1 percentage wise with the SPY while you fell at twice the rate. Anyone using this to daytrade long had little chance to make money.  Holding for a 2 week period - S&amp;P 950 sometime around 10/6 to S&amp;P 950 after the end of the month rally actually lost you 20% instead of breakeven.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unfortunately SSO is not 2x SPY or the S&amp;P &#8211; on the way down you get 2x, but on the way up you get less than that.  Take a look at the intraday action 11/6, each rally was 1 for 1 percentage wise with the SPY while you fell at twice the rate. Anyone using this to daytrade long had little chance to make money.  Holding for a 2 week period &#8211; S&amp;P 950 sometime around 10/6 to S&amp;P 950 after the end of the month rally actually lost you 20% instead of breakeven.</p>
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		<title>By: busterman343</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124843</link>
		<dc:creator>busterman343</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 01:38:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124843</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t know how people use these crazy leverage funds.  I mean, isn&#039;t that what got us into this mess to begin with?  There is simply no way to manage risk when the SP&#039;s are moving 3, 4 , 5%+ per day and these inverse funds are making daily moves that are the size of annual SP returns.  It&#039;s totally imprudent, in my opinion, to use these crazy funds. 3X is just insanity....But people will buy them and pay the fees....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know how people use these crazy leverage funds.  I mean, isn&#8217;t that what got us into this mess to begin with?  There is simply no way to manage risk when the SP&#8217;s are moving 3, 4 , 5%+ per day and these inverse funds are making daily moves that are the size of annual SP returns.  It&#8217;s totally imprudent, in my opinion, to use these crazy funds. 3X is just insanity&#8230;.But people will buy them and pay the fees&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Vermont Trader</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124836</link>
		<dc:creator>Vermont Trader</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 00:32:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124836</guid>
		<description>JMBorchers... don&#039;t forget you have to pay the bid/ask spread on both sides of the trade so your slippage is actually 4%.  

In my day trading account I can lever up the SPY 4x,  the spread is a couple cents, I can buy or sell in the aftermarket, and I don&#039;t have to pay margin if I close in the same day.

If I want to put on a levered position for more than a day or 2 I would use in the money options.

Right now being 50% long is crazy enough for me.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JMBorchers&#8230; don&#8217;t forget you have to pay the bid/ask spread on both sides of the trade so your slippage is actually 4%.  </p>
<p>In my day trading account I can lever up the SPY 4x,  the spread is a couple cents, I can buy or sell in the aftermarket, and I don&#8217;t have to pay margin if I close in the same day.</p>
<p>If I want to put on a levered position for more than a day or 2 I would use in the money options.</p>
<p>Right now being 50% long is crazy enough for me.</p>
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		<title>By: Vermont Trader</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124835</link>
		<dc:creator>Vermont Trader</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 00:17:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124835</guid>
		<description>The amazing thing is that AMTD will let you buy inverse 2x etf&#039;s in your IRA..  you can&#039;t short in an IRA so why is this slipping through the cracks?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The amazing thing is that AMTD will let you buy inverse 2x etf&#8217;s in your IRA..  you can&#8217;t short in an IRA so why is this slipping through the cracks?</p>
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		<title>By: Andy Tabbo</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124826</link>
		<dc:creator>Andy Tabbo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 22:43:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124826</guid>
		<description>leftback at 1.39pm...

On the S&amp;P500 I don&#039;t really see any inverted head and shoulder pattern that suggests a bottom.  I see some shoulders...but I see no clear head.  Perhaps with a leveraged ETF there exists a head, but I wouldn&#039;t base trading decisions on a leveraged derivative of the actual index.

895 on the SP500 Futures is a 61.8 retracement and I can certainly count out a completed initial move down from the 1007 highs as well as some short bullish RSI divergence....so perhaps we will get a decent bear market correction from 895-900 zone.  I&#039;ve covered shorts and am currently flat.  My bias is to wait to see a rally to sell into...not be long hoping for a rally.  However, I&#039;m a fairly conservative technical trader....if I were a little looser I would certainly be taking a shot at a little length waiting on a bear bounce.

- AT</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>leftback at 1.39pm&#8230;</p>
<p>On the S&amp;P500 I don&#8217;t really see any inverted head and shoulder pattern that suggests a bottom.  I see some shoulders&#8230;but I see no clear head.  Perhaps with a leveraged ETF there exists a head, but I wouldn&#8217;t base trading decisions on a leveraged derivative of the actual index.</p>
<p>895 on the SP500 Futures is a 61.8 retracement and I can certainly count out a completed initial move down from the 1007 highs as well as some short bullish RSI divergence&#8230;.so perhaps we will get a decent bear market correction from 895-900 zone.  I&#8217;ve covered shorts and am currently flat.  My bias is to wait to see a rally to sell into&#8230;not be long hoping for a rally.  However, I&#8217;m a fairly conservative technical trader&#8230;.if I were a little looser I would certainly be taking a shot at a little length waiting on a bear bounce.</p>
<p>- AT</p>
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		<title>By: Bob_in_MA</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124801</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob_in_MA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 21:29:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124801</guid>
		<description>Actually, if Barry bought SSO on Oct 10th as he implies, he paid 29, it&#039;s now at 28.  SPY is up a couple bucks.

Did he really put half these clients&#039; accounts in these things?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, if Barry bought SSO on Oct 10th as he implies, he paid 29, it&#8217;s now at 28.  SPY is up a couple bucks.</p>
<p>Did he really put half these clients&#8217; accounts in these things?</p>
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		<title>By: Bob_in_MA</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124793</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob_in_MA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 21:20:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124793</guid>
		<description>Good points.  Even if Barry bought SSO on the optimum day, he&#039;s only up 10-15%, with a phenomenal amount of risk. 

The one problem now with deep in-the-money puts is that they often need to be VERY deep in the money.  But over the last few years, my best trades were deep in the money LEAP puts.

I&#039;ve been using put spreads, but they have their own timing problem. You either have to market time accurately, and/or be somewhat conservative. I was too conservative with some steel spreads. I had JAN 2010 70/115 spreads on MT that cashed out last month! (MT is now at 20. ;-) But there was no in-the-money puts available at the time that didn&#039;t have a humongous premium. Needless to say, I didn&#039;t expect it to crater that far, that fast.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good points.  Even if Barry bought SSO on the optimum day, he&#8217;s only up 10-15%, with a phenomenal amount of risk. </p>
<p>The one problem now with deep in-the-money puts is that they often need to be VERY deep in the money.  But over the last few years, my best trades were deep in the money LEAP puts.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been using put spreads, but they have their own timing problem. You either have to market time accurately, and/or be somewhat conservative. I was too conservative with some steel spreads. I had JAN 2010 70/115 spreads on MT that cashed out last month! (MT is now at 20. ;-) But there was no in-the-money puts available at the time that didn&#8217;t have a humongous premium. Needless to say, I didn&#8217;t expect it to crater that far, that fast.</p>
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		<title>By: MarkTx</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124779</link>
		<dc:creator>MarkTx</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 20:05:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124779</guid>
		<description>For an investor/trader will the margin requirements for 3x funds at a typical broker still be the same?

- Schwab has a 30% margin maintenance requirement for the 2x funds I looked at.

- 3x leverage on 2 to 3 times margin gets you a lot of exposure fast, but man, it also sounds like a recipe for disaster.

OT - anyone like Schwab&#039;s new site? I give it a B right now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For an investor/trader will the margin requirements for 3x funds at a typical broker still be the same?</p>
<p>- Schwab has a 30% margin maintenance requirement for the 2x funds I looked at.</p>
<p>- 3x leverage on 2 to 3 times margin gets you a lot of exposure fast, but man, it also sounds like a recipe for disaster.</p>
<p>OT &#8211; anyone like Schwab&#8217;s new site? I give it a B right now.</p>
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		<title>By: jessica</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124772</link>
		<dc:creator>jessica</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 19:15:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124772</guid>
		<description>Can anyone recommend a method for shorting the way SDS does that I would be allowed to use in my IRA?

I understand (but have not verified) the argument about a kind of friction loss during directionless volatility.  It does seem to be less than the simplest equation would suggest.  (Where a 1% up day followed by a 1% down day results in 0.98*1.02=0.9996)  
I use both URPIX and SDS.  URPIX does stay much closer to its stated targets than SDS but because it is a mutual fund, it can only be sold at the end of the day.

As to why anyone would &quot;speculate&quot; in their IRA.  I am at least a decade and a half from retiring and even after the rally on Election Day, my IRA was up nearly 60% for the year.  Over 70% now.   If I had followed Barry&#039;s advice and waited longer before going short, I would be closer to retiring.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Can anyone recommend a method for shorting the way SDS does that I would be allowed to use in my IRA?</p>
<p>I understand (but have not verified) the argument about a kind of friction loss during directionless volatility.  It does seem to be less than the simplest equation would suggest.  (Where a 1% up day followed by a 1% down day results in 0.98*1.02=0.9996)<br />
I use both URPIX and SDS.  URPIX does stay much closer to its stated targets than SDS but because it is a mutual fund, it can only be sold at the end of the day.</p>
<p>As to why anyone would &#8220;speculate&#8221; in their IRA.  I am at least a decade and a half from retiring and even after the rally on Election Day, my IRA was up nearly 60% for the year.  Over 70% now.   If I had followed Barry&#8217;s advice and waited longer before going short, I would be closer to retiring.</p>
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		<title>By: leftback</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/3x-exchange-traded-funds/comment-page-1/#comment-124760</link>
		<dc:creator>leftback</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 18:39:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=8227#comment-124760</guid>
		<description>AT, what do you think of I-Man&#039;s analysis above of the inverse head-and-shoulders? I am also calling for a bounce off 900, but on the other hand I am staying short until the bounce arrives........</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AT, what do you think of I-Man&#8217;s analysis above of the inverse head-and-shoulders? I am also calling for a bounce off 900, but on the other hand I am staying short until the bounce arrives&#8230;&#8230;..</p>
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