Economics versus Politics
By Barry Ritholtz - November 2nd, 2008, 3:30PM
One of the things this election will be notable for is how well the Press is using digital media and interactive pages to dissect the issues and polls. I’ve gathered a slew of them and posted them in the Digital Media Tab.
Here’s a terrific example: Forget the polls for a moment, and consider instead what might be driving them.
The WSJ’s Real Time Economics does just that, looking at a state-by-state polls compared to key economic indicators. These are changes in home prices, employment, and income:>
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Source:
State-by-State Polls Compared to Economic Indicators
Phil Izzo
WSJ, November 1, 2008, 1:47 pm
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2008/11/01/state-by-state-polls-compared-to-economic-indicators/
November 2nd, 2008 at 4:36 pm
I didn’t give it more than a few seconds, but a quick regression of the 2008 polls against those other four variables finds that none of them are significant apart from the 2004 results.
November 2nd, 2008 at 4:46 pm
This chart porn would’ve been a nice addition to your overview of the month of October, but it’s just been posted by the NYT: record volatility *ever*