Comments on: Karl Rove EC Forecast: 338 Obama, 200 McCain http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/karl-rove-ec-forecast-338-obama-200-mccain/ Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media Tue, 14 Feb 2012 23:28:32 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.5 By: Mike in Nola http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/karl-rove-ec-forecast-338-obama-200-mccain/comment-page-1/#comment-124377 Mike in Nola Tue, 04 Nov 2008 10:03:56 +0000 http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=7916#comment-124377 I just compared it with Zogby's map. It's practically the same, except that Zogby does not assign FL, NC, or MO because he thinks they are are too close to call. If you assign them to FL to Obama and the other two to McCain, you get the same result. http://www.zogby.com/50state/ BTW, does anyone have a link to Zogby's last map before the 2004 election? Was trying to see how accurate he was. Finally, Rasmussen warns against relying on exit polls, which were misleading in 2004 and indicated Kerry had won. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/beware_of_exit_polls I just compared it with Zogby’s map. It’s practically the same, except that Zogby does not assign FL, NC, or MO because he thinks they are are too close to call. If you assign them to FL to Obama and the other two to McCain, you get the same result.

http://www.zogby.com/50state/

BTW, does anyone have a link to Zogby’s last map before the 2004 election? Was trying to see how accurate he was.

Finally, Rasmussen warns against relying on exit polls, which were misleading in 2004 and indicated Kerry had won.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/beware_of_exit_polls

]]>