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	<title>Comments on: October PPI: -2.8%</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/</link>
	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
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		<title>By: mitchn</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127160</link>
		<dc:creator>mitchn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 01:18:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127160</guid>
		<description>@austincompany 

Thanks for the info. We hear you. Good luck to you and hang in there. We all need to pull together at times like these. 

Mitch</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@austincompany </p>
<p>Thanks for the info. We hear you. Good luck to you and hang in there. We all need to pull together at times like these. </p>
<p>Mitch</p>
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		<title>By: Pat G.</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127147</link>
		<dc:creator>Pat G.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 23:26:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127147</guid>
		<description>&quot;A 24.9% decline in gasoline prices.&quot;

Look on the bright side.  It is more disposable income to the consumer who is in large part now trying to reduce their debts.  Then that &quot;extra money&quot; can be spent to effect us all.   And they&#039;ll be more willing to take on new debt.  Unless of course they&#039;re using it to continue a lifestyle they can&#039;t afford because they can&#039;t use their charge cards.  Did we learn anything?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;A 24.9% decline in gasoline prices.&#8221;</p>
<p>Look on the bright side.  It is more disposable income to the consumer who is in large part now trying to reduce their debts.  Then that &#8220;extra money&#8221; can be spent to effect us all.   And they&#8217;ll be more willing to take on new debt.  Unless of course they&#8217;re using it to continue a lifestyle they can&#8217;t afford because they can&#8217;t use their charge cards.  Did we learn anything?</p>
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		<title>By: DP</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127127</link>
		<dc:creator>DP</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 21:13:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127127</guid>
		<description>I bought RIMM 45 puts at the close, but only because I&#039;m holding RIMM long and wanted to see if today&#039;s little pop holds up.

As for AAPL, if they warned tomorrow (unless it was *really* bad) that damn stock would probably go up, it is in world of its own.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I bought RIMM 45 puts at the close, but only because I&#8217;m holding RIMM long and wanted to see if today&#8217;s little pop holds up.</p>
<p>As for AAPL, if they warned tomorrow (unless it was *really* bad) that damn stock would probably go up, it is in world of its own.</p>
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		<title>By: hpov2000</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127123</link>
		<dc:creator>hpov2000</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 20:49:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127123</guid>
		<description>jmborchers Says:  (November 18th, 2008 at 12:17 pm) 
&quot;I bought AAPL $50 puts expiring Friday. A huge fall is inevitable I just don’t know when... &quot;

What is rationale behind this? Do you expect warning between now and Friday?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>jmborchers Says:  (November 18th, 2008 at 12:17 pm)<br />
&#8220;I bought AAPL $50 puts expiring Friday. A huge fall is inevitable I just don’t know when&#8230; &#8221;</p>
<p>What is rationale behind this? Do you expect warning between now and Friday?</p>
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		<title>By: austincompany</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127096</link>
		<dc:creator>austincompany</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 19:26:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127096</guid>
		<description>As to my Company, we have had to decrease priced three times over the last three months to maintain our current revenues - and our competitors are doing the same. Perhaps some of you guys should get outside your glass boxes and look at the sales going on.

As a retail guy (and one who speaks to other retail guys), I can tell you this is the most difficult retail envirnoment in years or decades. The PPI will go down over the next few months and there is and will be the threat of deflation. As a direct result of the cutting of our prices, we let two people go and now the ones left must work harder. This same story is being repeated over and over again - its just that it isn&#039;t in the numbers yet.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As to my Company, we have had to decrease priced three times over the last three months to maintain our current revenues &#8211; and our competitors are doing the same. Perhaps some of you guys should get outside your glass boxes and look at the sales going on.</p>
<p>As a retail guy (and one who speaks to other retail guys), I can tell you this is the most difficult retail envirnoment in years or decades. The PPI will go down over the next few months and there is and will be the threat of deflation. As a direct result of the cutting of our prices, we let two people go and now the ones left must work harder. This same story is being repeated over and over again &#8211; its just that it isn&#8217;t in the numbers yet.</p>
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		<title>By: leftback</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127082</link>
		<dc:creator>leftback</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 18:45:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127082</guid>
		<description>I have stashed my rally cap away for today. 

@ constant: beer distributors? Food producers? 
We call that the &quot;McCain Plan&quot;.

Borchers changes his call more often than Barry changes his shirts...
Maximum frustration out there...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have stashed my rally cap away for today. </p>
<p>@ constant: beer distributors? Food producers?<br />
We call that the &#8220;McCain Plan&#8221;.</p>
<p>Borchers changes his call more often than Barry changes his shirts&#8230;<br />
Maximum frustration out there&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: constantnormal</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127079</link>
		<dc:creator>constantnormal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 18:35:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127079</guid>
		<description>So aside from the near-term or intermediate-term discombobulations of the markets, and frantic scrabbling back and forth amongst the traders, what kind of companies should longer-term investors be looking for?

I&#039;m thinking, in a deflationary environment (which is, whether one believes we are there yet or not, clearly where we are heading before we make the big U-turn toward hyperinflation down the road a ways, when all that debt we are creating today needs to be washed away ...) that one would like to invest in companies with little or no debt, that have high recurring raw material costs (that one would expect to see diminish as inflation persists), and a market that has at least some component of required-ness ...

Maybe beer distributors?  Food producers?  Any other ideas?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So aside from the near-term or intermediate-term discombobulations of the markets, and frantic scrabbling back and forth amongst the traders, what kind of companies should longer-term investors be looking for?</p>
<p>I&#8217;m thinking, in a deflationary environment (which is, whether one believes we are there yet or not, clearly where we are heading before we make the big U-turn toward hyperinflation down the road a ways, when all that debt we are creating today needs to be washed away &#8230;) that one would like to invest in companies with little or no debt, that have high recurring raw material costs (that one would expect to see diminish as inflation persists), and a market that has at least some component of required-ness &#8230;</p>
<p>Maybe beer distributors?  Food producers?  Any other ideas?</p>
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		<title>By: I-Man</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127073</link>
		<dc:creator>I-Man</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 18:09:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127073</guid>
		<description>From the link:

&quot;Among finished goods in October, prices for energy goods fell 12.8 percent compared 
with a 2.9-percent decline a month earlier.  The index for consumer foods edged down 0.2 
percent following a 0.2-percent increase in the prior month.  Prices for goods other than foods 
and energy rose 0.4 percent for the second consecutive month.&quot;

SO...

How long before the deterioration in prices for energy goods (12.8%) and consumer foods (0.2%) trickle into the &quot;other than&quot; category... timeframe wise...?

It would appear to me that the deterioration in energy should accelerate from here, as we havent even gotten into the huge drop as of the November data.  Also, it appears that consumer food price deterioration  seems to be lagging big time, as the food prices on grocery store shelves didnt start to reflect the past years price inflation until late this summer... when should it be reasonable to expect to see those deteriorating effects reflected at the grocery store? 

We&#039;ve seen the deterioration in energy prices trickle down to the pump rather quickly.  How long until the consumer sees a similar effect at say, Kroger?


OT:

@Borchers... I smell capitulation in you today.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From the link:</p>
<p>&#8220;Among finished goods in October, prices for energy goods fell 12.8 percent compared<br />
with a 2.9-percent decline a month earlier.  The index for consumer foods edged down 0.2<br />
percent following a 0.2-percent increase in the prior month.  Prices for goods other than foods<br />
and energy rose 0.4 percent for the second consecutive month.&#8221;</p>
<p>SO&#8230;</p>
<p>How long before the deterioration in prices for energy goods (12.8%) and consumer foods (0.2%) trickle into the &#8220;other than&#8221; category&#8230; timeframe wise&#8230;?</p>
<p>It would appear to me that the deterioration in energy should accelerate from here, as we havent even gotten into the huge drop as of the November data.  Also, it appears that consumer food price deterioration  seems to be lagging big time, as the food prices on grocery store shelves didnt start to reflect the past years price inflation until late this summer&#8230; when should it be reasonable to expect to see those deteriorating effects reflected at the grocery store? </p>
<p>We&#8217;ve seen the deterioration in energy prices trickle down to the pump rather quickly.  How long until the consumer sees a similar effect at say, Kroger?</p>
<p>OT:</p>
<p>@Borchers&#8230; I smell capitulation in you today.</p>
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		<title>By: hotfudge01</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127065</link>
		<dc:creator>hotfudge01</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 17:29:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127065</guid>
		<description>PPI down was no deflationary report, core was still up.  Commodity prices have just fallen but it still cost the same thing to make everything else!

There&#039;s no deflation, just people selling overpriced investments...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PPI down was no deflationary report, core was still up.  Commodity prices have just fallen but it still cost the same thing to make everything else!</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no deflation, just people selling overpriced investments&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: jmborchers</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2008/11/october-ppi-28/comment-page-1/#comment-127062</link>
		<dc:creator>jmborchers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 17:17:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=9936#comment-127062</guid>
		<description>I bought AAPL $50 puts expiring Friday. A huge fall is inevitable I just don&#039;t know when. If you were watching the testimoney it was quite clear why such a thing would occur to tell them to not file a TARP application and go elsewhere first.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I bought AAPL $50 puts expiring Friday. A huge fall is inevitable I just don&#8217;t know when. If you were watching the testimoney it was quite clear why such a thing would occur to tell them to not file a TARP application and go elsewhere first.</p>
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