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	<title>Comments on: S&amp;P500 Q4 Earnings Collapse</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/</link>
	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 16:15:53 -0500</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Jim Dandy</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-146191</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Dandy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Feb 2009 01:49:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-146191</guid>
		<description>I wish I knew what the S &amp; P 500 companies earned nearly 100 years before the index existed.  I am skeptical of the unmentioned constructed index that magically has alower growth rate than you know the actual index.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wish I knew what the S &amp; P 500 companies earned nearly 100 years before the index existed.  I am skeptical of the unmentioned constructed index that magically has alower growth rate than you know the actual index.</p>
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		<title>By: Binggan</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-146105</link>
		<dc:creator>Binggan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 18:03:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-146105</guid>
		<description>Very interesting posts. Following up on this I built a long term PE chart based on 10 year rolling earnings based on S&amp;P data. You can find it here:

http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2009/02/earnings-and-valuation.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very interesting posts. Following up on this I built a long term PE chart based on 10 year rolling earnings based on S&amp;P data. You can find it here:</p>
<p><a href="http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2009/02/earnings-and-valuation.html" rel="nofollow">http://great2cents.blogspot.com/2009/02/earnings-and-valuation.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Flybeug</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-146093</link>
		<dc:creator>Flybeug</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Feb 2009 17:40:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-146093</guid>
		<description>Hey AGG,

Not exactly sure what you&#039;re pointing at, haven&#039;t been underground for a while,  but I live in a country where the media and politics still can be played somewhat. We also have a fairly large and powerfull green movement so I would be willing to give it a shot. Send me an NDA at flybeug-at-hetnet.nl and I&#039;ll see what I can do to take this mainstream. Also have access to testing and production facilities. I also get to go Stateside sometimes, so invite me over sometime.

Just lemme know, kinda tired of big oil as well, so give us change.....


Regards,

Bas.


Bas.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey AGG,</p>
<p>Not exactly sure what you&#8217;re pointing at, haven&#8217;t been underground for a while,  but I live in a country where the media and politics still can be played somewhat. We also have a fairly large and powerfull green movement so I would be willing to give it a shot. Send me an NDA at flybeug-at-hetnet.nl and I&#8217;ll see what I can do to take this mainstream. Also have access to testing and production facilities. I also get to go Stateside sometimes, so invite me over sometime.</p>
<p>Just lemme know, kinda tired of big oil as well, so give us change&#8230;..</p>
<p>Regards,</p>
<p>Bas.</p>
<p>Bas.</p>
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		<title>By: The Curmudgeon</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-146006</link>
		<dc:creator>The Curmudgeon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 16:45:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-146006</guid>
		<description>How the Comman Man Sees It:

I can see that for the market in general but I thought it was the job of companies to create value, innovate and produce productivity enhancements that they could then sell to the general public. Doing that is supposed to make them grow at a faster rate than the economy and that is why we invest in them

Reply:  You are correct, but miss my point.  Some will grow faster and some slower, but overall, the value of earnings in the stock markets (again, not just the S&amp;P) must necessarily grow at roughly the same rate as the economy because stock market earnings growth plays directly into the calculations of GDP, ie., the total growth in the economy.  

If the S&amp;P, a small sample of all stocks, representing only very big companies, grows faster than the overall economy, it could be that large companies are growing at the expense of smaller ones--which is just one possibility that would require more investigation to conclusively determine.

Hope I didn&#039;t completely miss the thread.  It&#039;s been a busy weekend.  And I agree, fantastic, insightful stuff can be found here.  Thanks Barry and the rest.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How the Comman Man Sees It:</p>
<p>I can see that for the market in general but I thought it was the job of companies to create value, innovate and produce productivity enhancements that they could then sell to the general public. Doing that is supposed to make them grow at a faster rate than the economy and that is why we invest in them</p>
<p>Reply:  You are correct, but miss my point.  Some will grow faster and some slower, but overall, the value of earnings in the stock markets (again, not just the S&amp;P) must necessarily grow at roughly the same rate as the economy because stock market earnings growth plays directly into the calculations of GDP, ie., the total growth in the economy.  </p>
<p>If the S&amp;P, a small sample of all stocks, representing only very big companies, grows faster than the overall economy, it could be that large companies are growing at the expense of smaller ones&#8211;which is just one possibility that would require more investigation to conclusively determine.</p>
<p>Hope I didn&#8217;t completely miss the thread.  It&#8217;s been a busy weekend.  And I agree, fantastic, insightful stuff can be found here.  Thanks Barry and the rest.</p>
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		<title>By: How the Common Man Sees It</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-145983</link>
		<dc:creator>How the Common Man Sees It</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 08:53:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145983</guid>
		<description>Fantastic point/counterpoint tonight folks and if the only thing that comes out of this is that new power source then we really have won a big one tonight</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fantastic point/counterpoint tonight folks and if the only thing that comes out of this is that new power source then we really have won a big one tonight</p>
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		<title>By: AGG</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-145978</link>
		<dc:creator>AGG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 03:34:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145978</guid>
		<description>RW,
About corporate power: Of course it is what&#039;s behind the laws that government enforces. Government is just the face of corporate power. It wouldn&#039;t look good to have a Coca Cola jail or a Pfizer lethal injection service. No, the government has to &quot;serve&quot; as policeman. 
I agree with you. We both know the score. I think this knowledge has bred misanthropy in many. It has in me, anyway.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RW,<br />
About corporate power: Of course it is what&#8217;s behind the laws that government enforces. Government is just the face of corporate power. It wouldn&#8217;t look good to have a Coca Cola jail or a Pfizer lethal injection service. No, the government has to &#8220;serve&#8221; as policeman.<br />
I agree with you. We both know the score. I think this knowledge has bred misanthropy in many. It has in me, anyway.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark E Hoffer</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-145977</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark E Hoffer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 03:25:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145977</guid>
		<description>RW, 

that&#039;s good to hear, this two-dimensional means of communication, certainly, has its Limits.

w/this: &quot;“The fundamental concept in social science is Power, in the same sense in which Energy is the fundamental concept in physics.”--we should remember that Economics first, and foremost, is &#039;Social Science&#039;, and with that, all the Flap we hear about &quot;fixin&#039; the Economy&quot;, should be understood, in the current context, as &quot;Further Consolidating Power(away from the Individual)..

AGG, 

no Thanks necessary, I look forward to your proposal.  I&#039;m not much, if any, more confident in &#039;la sistema&#039; than you are, but, there&#039;s only one destination, in my mind, a better tomorrow..</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RW, </p>
<p>that&#8217;s good to hear, this two-dimensional means of communication, certainly, has its Limits.</p>
<p>w/this: &#8220;“The fundamental concept in social science is Power, in the same sense in which Energy is the fundamental concept in physics.”&#8211;we should remember that Economics first, and foremost, is &#8216;Social Science&#8217;, and with that, all the Flap we hear about &#8220;fixin&#8217; the Economy&#8221;, should be understood, in the current context, as &#8220;Further Consolidating Power(away from the Individual)..</p>
<p>AGG, </p>
<p>no Thanks necessary, I look forward to your proposal.  I&#8217;m not much, if any, more confident in &#8216;la sistema&#8217; than you are, but, there&#8217;s only one destination, in my mind, a better tomorrow..</p>
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		<title>By: RW</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-2/#comment-145974</link>
		<dc:creator>RW</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 01:58:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145974</guid>
		<description>danm, I don&#039;t disagree: Just saying that a drop to single digit multiples in a low interest rate environment would probably be signaling something a lot worse than recession.

AGG, you&#039;re singing to the choir. My uncle invented the power toothbrush in the &#039;50s -- no kidding, I saw copies of his patent submissions -- the first model used a wall-mounted motor with a flexible cable to the brush and the second model a couple years later was self-contained. He couldn&#039;t afford a good patent attorney for either and submitted the applications himself so it was child&#039;s play for a well-healed corporation to create the necessary minor variations and cut him out entirely (I have to say it continues to surprise me that those who understand governments can expropriate goods and rights don&#039;t seem to understand that corporations can do the same). Einstein correctly identifies the power of environment and Bertrand Russell intrudes on his turf a bit in generalizing the principle: &quot;The fundamental concept in social science is Power, in the same sense in which Energy is the fundamental concept in physics.&quot;

Mark, I figured as much: My comments were intended to be wry and ironic rather than envious, a commentary on the nature of fortune if you will, and I remain on very warm terms with all concerned.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>danm, I don&#8217;t disagree: Just saying that a drop to single digit multiples in a low interest rate environment would probably be signaling something a lot worse than recession.</p>
<p>AGG, you&#8217;re singing to the choir. My uncle invented the power toothbrush in the &#8217;50s &#8212; no kidding, I saw copies of his patent submissions &#8212; the first model used a wall-mounted motor with a flexible cable to the brush and the second model a couple years later was self-contained. He couldn&#8217;t afford a good patent attorney for either and submitted the applications himself so it was child&#8217;s play for a well-healed corporation to create the necessary minor variations and cut him out entirely (I have to say it continues to surprise me that those who understand governments can expropriate goods and rights don&#8217;t seem to understand that corporations can do the same). Einstein correctly identifies the power of environment and Bertrand Russell intrudes on his turf a bit in generalizing the principle: &#8220;The fundamental concept in social science is Power, in the same sense in which Energy is the fundamental concept in physics.&#8221;</p>
<p>Mark, I figured as much: My comments were intended to be wry and ironic rather than envious, a commentary on the nature of fortune if you will, and I remain on very warm terms with all concerned.</p>
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		<title>By: AGG</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-1/#comment-145972</link>
		<dc:creator>AGG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 01:45:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145972</guid>
		<description>Hoffer,
Very well. You have a lot more confidence in the system than I do. For that I envy you.
I&#039;ll e-mail you my terms within a week. 
Thank you for your interest.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hoffer,<br />
Very well. You have a lot more confidence in the system than I do. For that I envy you.<br />
I&#8217;ll e-mail you my terms within a week.<br />
Thank you for your interest.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark E Hoffer</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/02/sp500-q4-earnings-collapse/comment-page-1/#comment-145971</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark E Hoffer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2009 01:31:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=19075#comment-145971</guid>
		<description>AGG Says:         February 14th, 2009 at 7:45 pm

your points abouts Patents, are, indeed, correct, many innovations are never published thusly--via the Patent Office.  Though many are employed, kept *out-of-sight by NDAs and Trade Secret, as an example, terms of Art.

about your offer, feel free to send me an e&#124;mail, that type of bleeding stuff is my racket.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AGG Says:         February 14th, 2009 at 7:45 pm</p>
<p>your points abouts Patents, are, indeed, correct, many innovations are never published thusly&#8211;via the Patent Office.  Though many are employed, kept *out-of-sight by NDAs and Trade Secret, as an example, terms of Art.</p>
<p>about your offer, feel free to send me an e|mail, that type of bleeding stuff is my racket.</p>
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