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New Home Sales Fall 30.6% in March
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On April 24, 2009 @ 10:31 am In Markets,Real Estate | Comments Disabled
Another ugly New Home Sales report: There was no statistically significant monthly improvement, as the reported change of 0.6% was within the margin of error of ±19.0%. The year-over-year data, however, was god-awful: A drop of 30.6% (±10.7%) below the March 2008 data.
There is a slight silver lining in the inventory: Months supply fell to 10.7 from 11.2 — the lowest level since October 2008. The cycle high was in January 2009 at 12.5. And the absolute # of homes for sale fell to 311k from 328k to the lowest since Jan ’02. While this is an improvement, 6 months is the 30 year average, so we still have a ways to go.
And as Rex Nutting [1] points out, even with Builders cutting prices in March, “the time it takes to sell a home rose to record high of 10.2 months.” Blame competition from cheap foreclosures, with nearly half of all existing sales distressed property.
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Source: Census Bureau [2]
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Previously:
Media Misreports New Home Sales –they didn’t rise, they fell 41% [3] (March 26th, 2009)
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/03/new-home-sales-fell-41-in-february-2009/
Source:
NEW RESIDENTIAL SALES IN MARCH 2009 [4]
Census Bureau, APRIL 24, 2009 AT 10:00 A.M. EDT
http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf
http://www.census.gov/briefrm/esbr/www/esbr051.html
Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog
URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/new-home-sales-fall-30-in-march/
URLs in this post:
[1] Rex Nutting: http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid={3C81D5A5-9F2D-48FA-BE55-B57C64CA299B}
[2] Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov/briefrm/esbr/www/esbr051.html
[3] Media Misreports New Home Sales –they didn’t rise, they fell 41%: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/03/new-home-sales-fell-41-in-february-2009/
[4] NEW RESIDENTIAL SALES IN MARCH 2009: http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf
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