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	<title>Comments on: Ratings Agencies Abject Failure</title>
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	<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/</link>
	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
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		<title>By: Moss</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166770</link>
		<dc:creator>Moss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 21:44:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166770</guid>
		<description>It always comes back to the same adage.. Learn how NOT to be a sucker.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It always comes back to the same adage.. Learn how NOT to be a sucker.</p>
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		<title>By: DeDude</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166761</link>
		<dc:creator>DeDude</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 20:50:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166761</guid>
		<description>Maybe they have to be required to back up their words/rating with an insurance (CDS) that must be priced according to the rating.  If THEY were the ones to lose big time if they misrepresented the credit risk, then I am sure they would do a better job.  The did not fail for a lack of information, they failed for a lack of correct incentives.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe they have to be required to back up their words/rating with an insurance (CDS) that must be priced according to the rating.  If THEY were the ones to lose big time if they misrepresented the credit risk, then I am sure they would do a better job.  The did not fail for a lack of information, they failed for a lack of correct incentives.</p>
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		<title>By: tamasdb</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166686</link>
		<dc:creator>tamasdb</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 17:52:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166686</guid>
		<description>The trouble is that even if the rating agency&#039;s regulatory problem was solved (which would be a tall order in itself), there still stands the difficulty to come with any credible global model. If you take the recently released IMF forecast updates, it is striking how large the 2009 growth forecast update was compared to the one published just 6 months ago (which was incidentally well into the crisis). 

The IMF is sitting on one of the best global models of the world, and still cannot come up with anything better than a wild stab into the dark (the analysis, if you are interested, is here: http://globalstructures.blogspot.com/2009/04/imf-in-dark.html). The rating agencies cannot do else than take these meaningless forecasts. The distortions originating from their business models are almost secondary to that...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The trouble is that even if the rating agency&#8217;s regulatory problem was solved (which would be a tall order in itself), there still stands the difficulty to come with any credible global model. If you take the recently released IMF forecast updates, it is striking how large the 2009 growth forecast update was compared to the one published just 6 months ago (which was incidentally well into the crisis). </p>
<p>The IMF is sitting on one of the best global models of the world, and still cannot come up with anything better than a wild stab into the dark (the analysis, if you are interested, is here: <a href="http://globalstructures.blogspot.com/2009/04/imf-in-dark.html)" rel="nofollow">http://globalstructures.blogspot.com/2009/04/imf-in-dark.html)</a>. The rating agencies cannot do else than take these meaningless forecasts. The distortions originating from their business models are almost secondary to that&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Mark E Hoffer</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166634</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark E Hoffer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 16:14:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166634</guid>
		<description>Jeff, 

see: NRSRO, these rating agencies are still, gov&#039;t enforced/approved, &quot;Coin of the Realm&quot;..

Transor, 

this: &quot;Bear in mind that professional malpractice is nothing more than ordinary negligence as it applies to performing the tasks of certain professions.&quot;, and the rest of your explaination, was Spot-on.

Thank you for expounding.
~~~
as an aside, these cats: http://www.egan-jones.com/ in the NRSRO-sphere, seem to be the best of an, otherwise, horrid bunch.

and, if we were in any semblance of a Free Market, these peep: http://daily.gimmecredit.com/gcdaily/request would be as well known as S&amp;P, aka &quot;the Standard is to make you stupid &amp; Poor&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jeff, </p>
<p>see: NRSRO, these rating agencies are still, gov&#8217;t enforced/approved, &#8220;Coin of the Realm&#8221;..</p>
<p>Transor, </p>
<p>this: &#8220;Bear in mind that professional malpractice is nothing more than ordinary negligence as it applies to performing the tasks of certain professions.&#8221;, and the rest of your explaination, was Spot-on.</p>
<p>Thank you for expounding.<br />
~~~<br />
as an aside, these cats: <a href="http://www.egan-jones.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.egan-jones.com/</a> in the NRSRO-sphere, seem to be the best of an, otherwise, horrid bunch.</p>
<p>and, if we were in any semblance of a Free Market, these peep: <a href="http://daily.gimmecredit.com/gcdaily/request" rel="nofollow">http://daily.gimmecredit.com/gcdaily/request</a> would be as well known as S&amp;P, aka &#8220;the Standard is to make you stupid &amp; Poor&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: kansascitypothole</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166607</link>
		<dc:creator>kansascitypothole</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 15:11:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166607</guid>
		<description>related reading

“Mr. Barofsky reports that his office “has been informed by the Federal Reserve that it is considering, but has not yet adopted” a plan to replace credit ratings with actual examinations of the underlying loan portfolios. He further reports that Treasury says that “conducting due diligence with respect to the underlying collateral” will be part of its plan for investing in mortgage-backed securities. Imagine that: Trying to find out what they are buying before committing your money.”

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124087462292661301.html</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>related reading</p>
<p>“Mr. Barofsky reports that his office “has been informed by the Federal Reserve that it is considering, but has not yet adopted” a plan to replace credit ratings with actual examinations of the underlying loan portfolios. He further reports that Treasury says that “conducting due diligence with respect to the underlying collateral” will be part of its plan for investing in mortgage-backed securities. Imagine that: Trying to find out what they are buying before committing your money.”</p>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124087462292661301.html" rel="nofollow">http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124087462292661301.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Mannwich</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166601</link>
		<dc:creator>Mannwich</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 14:54:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166601</guid>
		<description>Anyone who bases any of their decisions on the ratings agencies at this point basically deserves what&#039;s coming to them?  How are these firms still in business?  Exactly what real value to do they offer?  Seriously.......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anyone who bases any of their decisions on the ratings agencies at this point basically deserves what&#8217;s coming to them?  How are these firms still in business?  Exactly what real value to do they offer?  Seriously&#8230;&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: RW</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166595</link>
		<dc:creator>RW</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 14:45:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166595</guid>
		<description>randomletters and VoiceFromTheWilderness beat me to it so I&#039;ll only add a question.

What kind of working environment or mechanism(s) would the rating agencies require to accomplish what the regulators (including the SEC) and most investors (including many management firms) apparently could or would not: The detection of a risky credit produced by a firm either willing to lie about (e.g., Enron) or gloss (most CDS and SIV products) its parameters?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>randomletters and VoiceFromTheWilderness beat me to it so I&#8217;ll only add a question.</p>
<p>What kind of working environment or mechanism(s) would the rating agencies require to accomplish what the regulators (including the SEC) and most investors (including many management firms) apparently could or would not: The detection of a risky credit produced by a firm either willing to lie about (e.g., Enron) or gloss (most CDS and SIV products) its parameters?</p>
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		<title>By: VoiceFromTheWilderness</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166583</link>
		<dc:creator>VoiceFromTheWilderness</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 14:28:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166583</guid>
		<description>If that isn&#039;t the pot calling the kettle black I don&#039;t know what is.  Oh, so the SEC thinks other people failed the US public do they.  Well, righty-o off we go, lets go a witch hunting.

Just one question: are people ever going to learn to see the context in which statements occur?  Or will they persist indefinitely in getting all gaga whenever *anyone* says something that validates their preconcieved conclusions?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If that isn&#8217;t the pot calling the kettle black I don&#8217;t know what is.  Oh, so the SEC thinks other people failed the US public do they.  Well, righty-o off we go, lets go a witch hunting.</p>
<p>Just one question: are people ever going to learn to see the context in which statements occur?  Or will they persist indefinitely in getting all gaga whenever *anyone* says something that validates their preconcieved conclusions?</p>
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		<title>By: Transor Z</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166568</link>
		<dc:creator>Transor Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 14:06:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166568</guid>
		<description>Mark,

The general rule in torts is that after-the-fact remedial measures are not admissible to prove liability and also don&#039;t work to relieve you of liability for the earlier conduct.  

&quot;Gross&quot; is just a variant of the regular old negligence tort that incorporates a higher degree of &quot;wrongful&quot; conduct. So it&#039;s harder to prove. Often you&#039;ll see &quot;gross negligence&quot; in contract liability provisions to limit one party&#039;s liability to only the worst kinds of negligent conduct. In many cases &quot;gross negligence&quot; by one party will trigger a requirement to indemnify the other party. 

Bear in mind that professional malpractice is nothing more than ordinary negligence as it applies to performing the tasks of certain professions. 

@snapshot:  Orange County sued McGraw-Hill under a theory of negligence and breach of contract. Ten years after the California decision, there may be a lot more ammo to support claims that ratings agencies acted with reckless disregard for the truth. Bear in mind that Orange County was suing S&amp;P for being merely incompetent. We have the &quot;structured by cows&quot; in-house email and others, plus whistleblower testimony. There may be enough to get the case to trial -- and as Grassi says, they sure as hell don&#039;t want a jury to get these cases. Also, the California district court opinion is not binding on SDNY federal courts, so who knows how things will turn out...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mark,</p>
<p>The general rule in torts is that after-the-fact remedial measures are not admissible to prove liability and also don&#8217;t work to relieve you of liability for the earlier conduct.  </p>
<p>&#8220;Gross&#8221; is just a variant of the regular old negligence tort that incorporates a higher degree of &#8220;wrongful&#8221; conduct. So it&#8217;s harder to prove. Often you&#8217;ll see &#8220;gross negligence&#8221; in contract liability provisions to limit one party&#8217;s liability to only the worst kinds of negligent conduct. In many cases &#8220;gross negligence&#8221; by one party will trigger a requirement to indemnify the other party. </p>
<p>Bear in mind that professional malpractice is nothing more than ordinary negligence as it applies to performing the tasks of certain professions. </p>
<p>@snapshot:  Orange County sued McGraw-Hill under a theory of negligence and breach of contract. Ten years after the California decision, there may be a lot more ammo to support claims that ratings agencies acted with reckless disregard for the truth. Bear in mind that Orange County was suing S&amp;P for being merely incompetent. We have the &#8220;structured by cows&#8221; in-house email and others, plus whistleblower testimony. There may be enough to get the case to trial &#8212; and as Grassi says, they sure as hell don&#8217;t want a jury to get these cases. Also, the California district court opinion is not binding on SDNY federal courts, so who knows how things will turn out&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Myr</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/04/ratings-agencies-abject-failure/comment-page-1/#comment-166559</link>
		<dc:creator>Myr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 13:48:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=25252#comment-166559</guid>
		<description>The system is fundamentally flawed because it&#039;s the issuers that pay for the ratings. If we don&#039;t change that, then we have to change the laws and rules that support the ratings companies. This isn&#039;t hard to understand, but our government doesn&#039;t want to deal with this absurdity and the many other fundamental flaws in the system that brought us here. This crisis will not be over until our government is forced to deal with these critical problems. Give it time...the bear isn&#039;t done and the next wave down(which won&#039;t come for months) will be vicious.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The system is fundamentally flawed because it&#8217;s the issuers that pay for the ratings. If we don&#8217;t change that, then we have to change the laws and rules that support the ratings companies. This isn&#8217;t hard to understand, but our government doesn&#8217;t want to deal with this absurdity and the many other fundamental flaws in the system that brought us here. This crisis will not be over until our government is forced to deal with these critical problems. Give it time&#8230;the bear isn&#8217;t done and the next wave down(which won&#8217;t come for months) will be vicious.</p>
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