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	<title>Comments on: Green Shoots or Dandelion Weeds?</title>
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	<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/</link>
	<description>Macro Perspective on the Capital Markets, Economy, Geopolitics, Technology, and Digital Media</description>
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		<title>By: me</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/comment-page-1/#comment-170147</link>
		<dc:creator>me</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2009 14:31:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=26145#comment-170147</guid>
		<description>&quot;the habits of the American consumer are changing right before our eyes.&quot;

Gas went up a quarter here in Atlanta and they were interviewing people at gas stations already talking about &quot;gas above $2&quot; and they are already changing their habits again and even re-evaluating vacation driving plans.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;the habits of the American consumer are changing right before our eyes.&#8221;</p>
<p>Gas went up a quarter here in Atlanta and they were interviewing people at gas stations already talking about &#8220;gas above $2&#8243; and they are already changing their habits again and even re-evaluating vacation driving plans.</p>
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		<title>By: Green Shoots or Dandelion Weeds? &#171; Meltdown Mania</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/comment-page-1/#comment-170109</link>
		<dc:creator>Green Shoots or Dandelion Weeds? &#171; Meltdown Mania</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2009 04:09:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=26145#comment-170109</guid>
		<description>[...] May 10, 2009 by Caligula    All of would do well to read this and digest it seriously. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] May 10, 2009 by Caligula    All of would do well to read this and digest it seriously. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: RosaT</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/comment-page-1/#comment-170092</link>
		<dc:creator>RosaT</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 23:12:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=26145#comment-170092</guid>
		<description>I agree with your analysis that this recession is unlike others and that the reduced spending habits and other adjustments that consumers are making will become the new norm rather than a temporary phenomenon. I believe that the sustainability trends such as frugality will also entail changes in how Americans define personal wealth and success.

I believe that the economic downturn abounds in opportunities for new creative ways that we can model our personal lives to be more fulfilling, that is not as dependent on financial wealth. Some of these include following our passions, spending more quality time with family and friends, becoming more resilient and re-prioritizing key aspects of our lives, reflecting on and shifting our core values, lifestyles and spending habits, reaching out and helping others, even when our personal financial situation is deteriorating 

Recently, I found it extremely helpful during the economic downturn to create a positive attitude by participating in the “upside to the downturn” community group including a weekly Starting Your Week on the Upside column. It’s a place where folks are sharing insights and stories about how they are creating an upside and improving their lives in spite of the downturn. Check it out: http://www.upsidetothedownturn.com/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree with your analysis that this recession is unlike others and that the reduced spending habits and other adjustments that consumers are making will become the new norm rather than a temporary phenomenon. I believe that the sustainability trends such as frugality will also entail changes in how Americans define personal wealth and success.</p>
<p>I believe that the economic downturn abounds in opportunities for new creative ways that we can model our personal lives to be more fulfilling, that is not as dependent on financial wealth. Some of these include following our passions, spending more quality time with family and friends, becoming more resilient and re-prioritizing key aspects of our lives, reflecting on and shifting our core values, lifestyles and spending habits, reaching out and helping others, even when our personal financial situation is deteriorating </p>
<p>Recently, I found it extremely helpful during the economic downturn to create a positive attitude by participating in the “upside to the downturn” community group including a weekly Starting Your Week on the Upside column. It’s a place where folks are sharing insights and stories about how they are creating an upside and improving their lives in spite of the downturn. Check it out: <a href="http://www.upsidetothedownturn.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.upsidetothedownturn.com/</a></p>
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		<title>By: Onlooker from Troy</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/comment-page-1/#comment-170030</link>
		<dc:creator>Onlooker from Troy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 16:16:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=26145#comment-170030</guid>
		<description>Good stuff from Mauldin as usual.  Of course it&#039;s getting a bit redundant to have to make the same arguments and point out the same facts over and over again, but clearly some people need to have it reinforced.  Those who are buying into this rally at this point on the notion that the inventory bounce related positive GDP we&#039;ll get eventually is a reason to get all excited about stocks are deluding themselves.  The ugly near depression conditions that worried people 8 weeks ago at the market lows are still out there.  The idea that the storm is past is naive&#039;.  I like the eye of the hurricane metaphor here.

Plenty of people are going to get hurt again soon.  But clearly bear market psychology (lurching from despair to hope and back again) is in full control.  Combine that with spectacular speculation going on in every piece of junk stock out there right now and the trend followers reinforcing the trend, and this thing wraps tighter and tighter, until it doesn&#039;t and the trend followers all run to the other side of the boat.

It seems that some market internals are very interesting here.  A lot of high quality names (and the whole tech sector i.e. Naz) are sagging while junk levitates.  The financials are in a parabolic rise and we know how those end (crashing wave anybody?).  

Hussman invests in high quality companies (strong balance sheet, cash flow, etc.) and none of the bank sector and has been tightly hedged here.  So his daily performance figures reflect his relative performance to the market.  So you can get a sense for what&#039;s going on re: high quality vs. low quality.  He (and yes I) took a 2+ % hit yesterday while the market was clearly up.  That right there tells you a bit about what&#039;s going on in the market.  I&#039;m half expecting an interesting comment and research piece from him on that topic this weekend.  A healthy market it&#039;s clearly not.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good stuff from Mauldin as usual.  Of course it&#8217;s getting a bit redundant to have to make the same arguments and point out the same facts over and over again, but clearly some people need to have it reinforced.  Those who are buying into this rally at this point on the notion that the inventory bounce related positive GDP we&#8217;ll get eventually is a reason to get all excited about stocks are deluding themselves.  The ugly near depression conditions that worried people 8 weeks ago at the market lows are still out there.  The idea that the storm is past is naive&#8217;.  I like the eye of the hurricane metaphor here.</p>
<p>Plenty of people are going to get hurt again soon.  But clearly bear market psychology (lurching from despair to hope and back again) is in full control.  Combine that with spectacular speculation going on in every piece of junk stock out there right now and the trend followers reinforcing the trend, and this thing wraps tighter and tighter, until it doesn&#8217;t and the trend followers all run to the other side of the boat.</p>
<p>It seems that some market internals are very interesting here.  A lot of high quality names (and the whole tech sector i.e. Naz) are sagging while junk levitates.  The financials are in a parabolic rise and we know how those end (crashing wave anybody?).  </p>
<p>Hussman invests in high quality companies (strong balance sheet, cash flow, etc.) and none of the bank sector and has been tightly hedged here.  So his daily performance figures reflect his relative performance to the market.  So you can get a sense for what&#8217;s going on re: high quality vs. low quality.  He (and yes I) took a 2+ % hit yesterday while the market was clearly up.  That right there tells you a bit about what&#8217;s going on in the market.  I&#8217;m half expecting an interesting comment and research piece from him on that topic this weekend.  A healthy market it&#8217;s clearly not.</p>
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		<title>By: &#187; Economic News Odds and Ends Saturday 9 May 2009 Redfish Emerging Markets.com: Helping Good Investors Make Better Decisions</title>
		<link>http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/05/green-shoots-or-dandelion-weeds/comment-page-1/#comment-170020</link>
		<dc:creator>&#187; Economic News Odds and Ends Saturday 9 May 2009 Redfish Emerging Markets.com: Helping Good Investors Make Better Decisions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 15:56:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/?p=26145#comment-170020</guid>
		<description>[...] must read – Green Shoots or Dandelion Weeds? From BR at The Big [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] must read – Green Shoots or Dandelion Weeds? From BR at The Big [...]</p>
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