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Nobel Economics Prize Potential Winner Odds

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On October 11, 2009 @ 8:00 pm In Economy | Comments Disabled

Below you will find the potential winners of the Nobel Prize in Economics, via Ladbrokes, and online UK gambling shop, via Greg Mankiw [1].

As we have already learned, the prediction markets and online shops were totally wrong about the Nobel Peace Prize. This forecasting error was no surprise, and time permitting, I will explain why tomorrow.

Economic Nobel Winners Odds:

Eugene Fama 2/1
Paul Romer 4/1
Ernst Fehr 6/1
Kenneth R. French 6/1
William Nordhaus 6/1
Robert Barro 7/1
Matthew J Rabin 8/1
Jean Tirole 9/1
Martin Weitzman 9/1
Chris Pissarides 10/1
Dale T Mortensen 10/1
Xavier Sala-i-Martin 10/1
Avinash Dixit 14/1
Jagdish N. Bhagwati 14/1
Robert Schiller [sic] 14/1
William Baumol 16/1
Martin S. Feldstein 20/1
Christopher Sims 25/1
Lars P. Hansen 25/1
Nancy Stokey 25/1
Peter A Diamond 25/1
Thomas J. Sargent 25/1
Dale Jorgenson 33/1
Paul Milgrom 33/1
Oliver Hart 40/1
Bengt R Holmstrom 50/1
Elhanan Helpman 50/1
Ellinor Ostrom 50/1
Gene M Grossman 50/1
Karl-Goran Maler 50/1
Oliver Williamson 50/1
Robert B Wilson 50/1


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URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/10/economic-nobel-odds/

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[1] Greg Mankiw: http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2009/10/nobel-odds.html

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