US$ at high of day…
The US$ is at the high of the day vs the euro coincident with Greek CDS at the wides of the morning by 20 bps to 307 bps following the news this morning. This level is a 2 week high. In sympathy, CDS is wider in Spain, Portugal, Italy and Ireland. Bond yields are higher too and Greek stocks in particular closed down 3.4%. There is also an idiotic rumor out there that the Fed is again going to raise the discount rate after doing so a month ago. While they easily may but likely won’t anytime soon, there is zero chance the possibility of it would leak to a Wall St trading desk.


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March 18th, 2010 at 10:44 pm
Rumors, innuendos and the illusion that somehow the USD is a “safe haven” aside, let’s state the obvious. The only reason the USD has a bid is because it’s the world’s reserve currency. Period..
March 19th, 2010 at 12:24 am
The EURUSD has been in a wave pattern for several weeks now with peak to trough taking about 2 days, and back up again. You could make some pretty good money during this period if you catch the wave. The past 2 days the wave was down. If the pattern holds, it will go up over the next few days. Explaining each movement by news events is purely a rationale. Today’s low is right where it was on March 10!