WikiRebels – The Documentary

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 14th, 2010, 6:22AM

From YouTube:

“Exclusive rough-cut of first in-depth documentary on WikiLeaks and the people behind it!

From summer 2010 until now, Swedish Television has been following the secretive media network WikiLeaks and its enigmatic Editor-in-Chief Julian Assange.

Reporters Jesper Huor and Bosse Lindquist have traveled to key countries where WikiLeaks operates, interviewing top members, such as Assange, new Spokesperson Kristinn Hrafnsson, as well as people like Daniel Domscheit-Berg who now is starting his own version – Openleaks.org!

Where is the secretive organization heading? Stronger than ever, or broken by the US? Who is Assange: champion of freedom, spy or rapist? What are his objectives? What are the consequences for the internet?”

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VIDEO Part I

Read the rest of this entry »

Open Thread

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 7:51PM

Hey, its Monday night, and I am sure everyone has lots on their minds — The Nasdaq reversal, the all time high in Apple (AAPL), the coming economic data, the year end markets.

What’s on your collective minds — Ron Paul and the Fed, Gold Foreclosure, Litigation, Putbacks?

Its open thread time — whatever the subject, its fair game.

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What say ye ?

Goldman’s Apple Upgrade Shouldn’t Matter to You

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 2:12PM

It seems that lots of news sites are all atwitter over Goldies’ $430 target on Apple. My view is that you are much better off forming your own opinion than relying on someone else’s

Video is here: Goldman $430 Target on Apple: Yawn

Goldman $430 Target on Apple: Yawn

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 2:04PM

Goldman Sachs Upgrade on Apple should not mean much to smart investors.

Christmas Food Court Flash Mob, Hallelujah Chorus

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 2:03PM

http://www.AlphabetPhotography.com – On Nov.13 2010 unsuspecting shoppers got a big surprise while enjoying their lunch. Over 100 participants in this awesome Christmas Flash Mob. This is a must see!

This flash mob was organized by http://www.AlphabetPhotography.com to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas!

Special thanks to Robert Cooper and Chorus Niagara, The Welland Seaway Mall, and Fagan Media Group.

China and US interest rates continue higher

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By Peter Boockvar - December 13th, 2010, 11:20AM

Large consumer (5.1%) and producer price (6.1%) gains in China was not immediately met with an interest rate hike from the PBOC, at least not yet, and the lack of one sent the Shanghai index up almost 3% and the rest of Asian markets followed. That strength spilled over into Europe and has the S&P futures also higher. Copper prices are rising to fresh record highs. The consequence though of all of the above is another rise in interest rates where the US 10 yr yield is at another fresh 6 month high. Tomorrow, the FOMC gets together for the 1st time since Nov 3rd when they announced more asset purchases for the sole purpose of suppressing interest rates. Instead since then, the 10 yr yield is up 78 bps and the average 30 yr mortgage rate is up by 66 bps. Oh to be a fly on the wall of that meeting.

10 Lessons of Madoff’s Ponzi Scheme

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 11:00AM

Its been two years since the Madoff crime erupted across headlines. The massive theft punctured what little faith investors  had in the markets, investment firms and regulators.

Fraud rarely has a silver lining, but the least we can do is try to learn from other people’s mistakes. There were many many lessons to be learned from the atrocious theft committed by Bernie Madoff. Those who watch the massive scam unravel should take heed, and consider what lessons could be learned.

Here are my 10 takeaways from the scam:

1. Due Diligence: You must understand what that means, and have the ability to perform it competently. If you do not have the tools to perform adequate due diligence, you should not be invested in any hedge funds, VC, or private equity funds PERIOD.

2. Too good to be true?:  By now, everyone should recognize this: Anything that sounds to good to be true probably is. Low risk, high gain outcomes are extremely low probability. Stop buying lottery tickets, and stop chasing last year’s performance.

3. OPM: Ask yourself who profits from this investment, what interests and conflicts are involved. Is there an  incentivize to take wild risks with other people’s money? Are managers assets at risk along side investor money? Recognize what OPM does to the process.

4. Instincts: Don’t be afraid to rely on your Spidey-Sense if you are skeptical about an investment. If something seems amiss, walk away. Someone doesn’t charge fees? Performance is improbably stable for equities? They give you a Wink Wink Nudge Nudge that something is borderline illegal ?  WALK AWAY

5. Know What You Own: Do not invest in anything you do not understand: How does this make money? What makes this unique? What is the basis for this investment? What are the risks? If you cannot answer those questions, you should not be risking your capital.

6. No Outsourcing: Do not outsource your thinking or due diligence. Do not rely on 3rd parties, fund of funds, lawyers, advisors or consultants. We have learned that most are worthless. What is the value add does this fund manager provide? What are they doing, and should I be doing that myself? This is true for consultants, economists, strategists, traders, and managers.

7. You must not keep all of your money with one manager: I was astonished how many people had all their money with Madoff. If the worst happens, this is a recipe for disaster. Diversify your holdings across several professionals in unrelated firms.

And firms that Self-Clear are simply verboten.

8. People:  Which leads to this you must understand the people of any organization, along with its principles and partners. What are their ethical standards, history, and reputations? Do you know them well enough to know their hobbies, foibles, personal vices?

9. What if you suspect you are in a Ponzi scheme? Withdraw your cash. Send an fax and a registered letter. Never reveal to the scammer why, simply insist upon getting your money back — If you must explain, only say “Its for personal reasons.”  Then you must create meticulous records as to what your contributions were, what your net gains were. Set up a second account for any gains — you must assume that they can be clawed back within a certain number of years.

10. Its Your Money: You are on your own — don’t expect help from the SEC or the media or anyone else. Its your cash and your retirement. You best act that way. I am not seeking to exonerate the many failures of 3rd parties — rather, I am emphasizing that it is your responsibility.

That’s my list; feel free to make your own suggestions . . . .

Tavakoli’s Top Ten Business Books of 2010

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 9:47AM

Janet Tavakoli’s list of best business books is as humorous a piece of scorched earth journalism you will ever come across. (She sure doesn’t care what bridges she burns):

Tavakoli’s Top Ten Business Books of 2010

• New Century: Fooling Me All of the Time or Why Improper Practices Only Matter When I’m Short and Not Earning Double Digit Dividends by David Einhorn

• The Race to Stop the Collapse of Goldman Sachs and Exploit the Crisis, by Henry M. Paulson

• The End of Wall Street and the Global Takeover by Financial Oligarchs, by Roger Lowenstein

• If Everyone is a Devil, Then No One is Responsible, Particularly not any Wall Street Bank that Your Husband May End Up Getting Paid Big Bucks to Defend, by Bethany McLean

• Blame the Meltdown on Outliers Instead of Outright Liars, by Scott Patterson

• Crybaby Game: I’m Taller than You Are, and My Banking Friends Didn’t Instigate Securities Fraud, Those Damn Bond Insurers are to Blame by Christine Richard

• Trust Bernanke to Fund, by Andrew Sorkin

• The Big Shortcut: Skip Hard-Hitting Facts and Excuse Fraud as Delusion, by Michael Lewis

• The Greatest Trade Ever: It Beats Investigative Journalism, by Gregory Zuckerman

• Buffett Dearest: If You Had a Hot Line to the Treasury, You’d Sell Your Principles Too, by Janet Tavakoli

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Janet Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli Structured Finance, and has more than 20 years of experience in senior investment banking positions, trading, structuring and marketing structured financial products. She is a former adjunct associate professor of derivatives at the University of Chicago’s Graduate School of Business.  Author of: Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Structures (1998, 2001), Collateralized Debt Obligations & Structured Finance (2003), Structured Finance & Collateralized Debt Obligations (2008), and Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street (2009).

Brain Oddities: Spelling is Irrelevant to Comprehension

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 9:15AM

In trying to make sense of the world around us, our brains have evolved to do some very odd things. The more we learn about our cognitive processes, the more it seems we have inherited a very weird wetware set, filled with bizarre and misleading foibles.

While most of the cognitive errors I reference here work against us — especially as investors — today’s example of a cognitive process works strangely in the brain’s favorSpelling don’t matter. Comprehension remains essentially unchanged, even when all letters of a word are totally mixed up — just so long as the first and last letters are in their proper place.

Spelling, it seems, is irrelevant to comprehension. Try this jumble below and see if the flawed wetware you call a brain can read it:

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Pretty cool, eh? Quite a marvelous set of neurons you got there . . .

Girl Talk: AllDay

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By Barry Ritholtz - December 13th, 2010, 8:45AM

I’ve been enjoying Girl Talk‘s All Day — it reminds me more of the earlier, more listenable hiphop, such as Paul’s Boutique (one of my favorite albums).

I’ve been much less impressed with Kanye’s new (and very well reviewed) album), My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy — with a few exceptions, its just that much not fun to listen to.

All Day, on the other hand, is one big party.

Here is the breakdown of the sampling on the disc:

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Hat tip: Josh Brown on Keyboards

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Source:
Infographic: Girl Talk’s Latest Mashup Masterpiece Deconstructed
TYLER GRAY
Fast Money Dec 7, 2010
http://www.fastcompany.com/1707948/girl-talk-all-day-infographic#self

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