With a deal almost done, the next question yet to be answered is how the rating agencies will respond. I’m not going to bother gaming the new odds of what they do as I don’t think it’s politically such an easy decision for them. Irrespective of their actions, we all know that medicaid and social security weren’t touched at all and medicare was only modestly tweaked in one area and it’s these three programs that have us deserving of a downgrade. Putting this aside, finally for now, attention will quickly shift back to the economy and its current growth prospects. Manufacturing data in China, South Korea, India, Taiwan, Europe/UK all were released and the results point to a continued moderation in business trends. The US ISM will likely do the same at 10am. It is this reality that has the 10 yr note yield at an 8 month low and little changed today notwithstanding the DC deal. Vehicle sales, ISM services, chain store sales and Friday’s payroll will also be of focus.

Category: MacroNotes

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

One Response to “Can we move on, for now?”

  1. Mike in Nola says:

    Except for Dagong, over which the US has no control, the big name CRA’s will back off now that they have obtained immunity for their misdeeds of the 2000′s through the sub rosa portion of the debt negotiations that we will not hear about until someone writes his memoirs.