Spiegel: The Destructive Power of the Financial Markets

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By Global Macro Monitor - August 24th, 2011, 5:09AM

Nasty article in Der Spiegel, Out of Control: The Destructive Power of the Financial Markets, which helps explain what’s behind the financial transactions tax that was recently introduced by Angela Merkel  and Nicolas Sarkozy.  The article opens,

The enemy looks friendly and unpretentious. With his scuffed shoes and thinning gray hair, John Taylor resembles an elderly sociology professor. Books line the dark, floor-to-ceiling wooden shelves in his office in Manhattan, alongside a bust of Theodore Roosevelt and an antique telescope.

Taylor is the chairman and CEO of FX Concepts, a hedge fund that specializes in currency speculation. It’s the largest hedge fund of its kind worldwide, which is why Taylor is held partly responsible for the crash of the euro. Critics accuse Taylor and others like him of having exacerbated the government crisis in Greece and accelerated the collapse in Ireland.

The vitriol for hedge fund types is ubiquitous, but there is also a some truth in the article, especially on regulatory issues.  Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg refers to people like Taylor as “like a pack of wolves.”  New York Governor Andrew Cuomo even gets into the mix as once likening short-sellers to “looters after a hurricane.”

Here are some more money quotes from the piece, which is well worth your time:

- The truth is that the financial markets are controlling the politicians.

– The markets take advantage of every weakness and every rumor to speculate against one country after the next.

-  Stock markets are currently in turmoil. Even the most experienced equity traders cannot remember a time when prices fluctuated as widely from day to day — and often even within a single day — as they have in recent weeks.

- But without the destructive power of the banks, hedge funds and other investment companies, the world would not be where it is today — at the edge of an abyss.

- Many things that happen on Wall Street and in London’s financial district are “socially useless,” says Lord Adair Turner, chairman of Britain’s Financial Services Authority (FSA).

- Flassbeck believes that the crises in the globalized economy have “a common root, namely the inability of economists to correctly interpret the world.”

-Of all people, it was an academic specializing in literary studies who managed to most accurately analyze the insanity of the financial markets and the impotence of economists.

- When Deutsche Börse decided to move from Frankfurt to the nearby town of Eschborn, the town saw a rapid increase in the demand for air-conditioned basement space, where so-called high-frequency traders, as well as banks, set up their state-of-the-art supercomputers.

- The traders at Deutsche Bank are apparently more clued into who holds Greece’s government bonds than the Greeks themselves.

- Speculation has always existed in economic history, but never to such an extent as today.

- German Chancellor Angela Merkel knows that there is more at stake than the stability of the economy and overcoming a temporary weakness. “This type of crisis cannot be allowed to repeat itself in the foreseeable future,” Merkel said, “otherwise it will be extremely difficult to guarantee political stability, and not only in Germany.”

- Following the near-collapse of the markets, then-German President Horst Köhler characterized the financial markets as a “monster.”

- Jochen Sanio, head of Germany’s banking regulatory agency, believes it is highly likely that the next crisis will emanate from this largely unregulated realm of hedge funds and other financial players.

- When asked whether it is possible to make future crises unlikely, Hilmar Kopper, the former CEO of Deutsche Bank and current chairman of the supervisory board of HSH Nordbank, replies with a simple “no.” According to Kopper, more huge financial bubbles could happen in the future.

Let’s get ready to rumble!

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Source:
The Destructive Power of the Financial Markets
DIETMAR HAWRANEK, ARMIN MAHLER, CHRISTOPH PAULY, MICHAELA SCHIESSL AND THOMAS SCHULZ
Der Spiegel, 8/22/11
http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,781590,00.html

Print
http://www.spiegel.de/international/business/0,1518,druck-781590,00.html

Marc Faber: S&P won’t surpass 2011 high of 1,370

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 6:52PM

Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, appeared on Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” with Carol Massar and Matt Miller today.

Speaking from Sao Paolo, Brazil, Faber said that the S&P won’t surpass the 2011 high of 1,370 and that investors are “better off in equities than bonds.” Faber also said that keeping money in cash in 10-Years is a “disaster.”

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Tuesday Afternoon Earthquake Reads

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 4:15PM

My afternoon reading material:

• A ‘no-growth’ boom will follow 2012 global crash (Market Watch)
• El-Erian Joins With Feldstein-Fels on Prospect of New Core Euro (Bloomberg) see also Spend Now, Save Later, Bond Fund Leaders Say (NYT)
• NY Fed Director Kathryn Wylde Provokes Accusations Of Conflict Of Interest (HuffPo)
• Investors Call for 4-Way Breakup of McGraw-Hill (Deal Book) see also S&P President to Step Down (Deal Book)
• Against “Japan-ification” (FT.com) see also Mistaken policy lessons from Japan? (Vox)
• The Rich Can Afford to Pay More Taxes (Economix)
The Corruption of Darryl Issa: Regulator, Lawmaker and a Quandary (NYT)
• Tabloid’s Pursuit of Missing Girl Led to Its Own Demise (WSJ)
• Slip-Up in Chinese Military TV Show Reveals More Than Intended (The Epoch Times)
• Rick Perry’s Scientific Campaign Method (NYT)

What are you reading?

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Devastation from East Coast 5.9 Earthquake

Source:  jmckinley’s posterous

Stephen Roach: Consumers need debt jubilee

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 3:00PM

Source:
Stephen Roach: Consumers need debt jubilee
Credit Write Downs, August 22, 2011

Twitter Facts and Figures

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 2:30PM

Click To Enlarge Graphic:

Source:
Twitter Infographic,
Touch Agency

Bank of America Credit Spread: FUGLY

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 12:30PM

This is pretty damned FUGLY: Click for larger graphic

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click for larger chart

Mark Gongloff explains the pain:

“In the credit-default swap market, spreads are wider across the board, meaning people are paying up for protection. The Markit investment-grade corporate debt index is 3 basis points wider. The index of European sovereign debt is 10 basis points wider. The index of European financials is also 10 basis points wider.”

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Source:
Bank of America CDS Spread Nears Record As Credit Market Misses Rally Memo
Mark Gongloff
Marktbeat, August 23, 2011, 9:05 AM
http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2011/08/23/credit-misses-rally-memo-bank-of-america-cds-approaches-record/

Swiss Climber scales mountains with just pickaxes!

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 11:56AM

Federal Reserve Emergency Loans: Liquidity for Banks

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 11:43AM

Nice interactive graphic from Bloomberg regarding the Emergency loans made by the Fed (see yesterday’s discussion here).

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Click for interactive graphic:

Source: The Fed’s Secret Liquidity Lifelines,
Bloomberg

Rosie on Recession II

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 9:45AM

Overview on Rosenberg’s points from Reformed Broker:

* We are already in recession, and while this one may last awhile, there is no evidence to support claims that this recession will be as catastrophic as the one that began in 2007 (I’ve been saying this for a month now).

* Both gold and Treasurys have more room to run, but tactically-speaking, buyers should hold off at today’s prices as both are overdue for a short-term pullback.

* There’s no reason to be completely out of equities, but one should be underweight the amount of equities they’d own in a cyclical bull market, which this assuredly is not (this mirrors exactly what we’ve done with the stock weightings in the portfolios we’re managing).

* The equities you do own ought to be defensive in nature and not cyclical, they should have good earnings visibility and solid dividends (again, he may as well have been talking my book precisely).

* The best type of stimulus the government could do would be something tied to energy. Natural gas infrastructure build-out for example would put legions of Americans to work and could eventually lead to much lower energy prices for consumers leading to a higher amount of disposable income (long time readers are aware of my nat gas vehicle obsession).

10 Tuesday AM Reads

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By Barry Ritholtz - August 23rd, 2011, 9:35AM

This is what I am reading this morning:

• Baby Boomers Selling Shares May Depress Stocks for Decades, Fed Paper Says (Bloomberg) see also Demographics and destiny, labour force and consumer spending edition (FT.com)
• FAQ’s about the “Great Depression” and the “Great Recession” (Northern Trust)
• Is the SEC Covering Up Wall Street Crimes? (Rolling Stone) see also The S.E.C.’s Document Destruction Problem (Deal Book)
• Analyst Estimates 10 Times Higher Than GDP in S&P 500 Rout (Bloomberg)
• A Sales Tax on Wall Street Transactions (Economix)
• Time for Bank of America to Get Out of the Dow? (WSJ) see also Bank Of America’s No-Good, Very Bad Enablers (Forbes)
• Size of Gold ‘Bubble’ Now an ‘Absurdity’: Analyst (CNBC)
• Checking in on market valuations (Abnormal Returns) see also Dow Transports Collapse = Recession Priced In (WSJ)
• What’s the better austerity: more cuts or more taxes? (Christian Science Monitor)
• Goldman CEO hires prominent defense lawyer (Reuters) see also Goldman’s Shares Tumble as Blankfein Hires Top Lawyer (Deal Book)
• Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue? (NY Mag)

What are you reading?

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