Presidential Futures Make a Big Move: Discuss
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On September 10, 2012 @ 8:30 pm In Markets,Politics | Comments Disabled
I was never a big fan of Intrade markets [1] — in the past, I have suggested they act as super polls of all the other polls, — they don’t predict the future, rather, they summarize the state of the moment.
Regardless, if I was a strategist in the Romney camp, I would be concerned about this (via Maoxian [2]).
Its the subject of tonite’s Open Thread.
click for bigger charts
[3]
Intrade: Obama Contracts [4]
[5]
Intrade: Romney Contracts [6]
What say ye ?
Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog
URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/09/presidential-futures-make-a-big-move/
URLs in this post:
[1] Intrade markets: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474
[2] Maoxian: https://twitter.com/maoxian/status/245295650256846848
[3] Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/chart134693868267340697.png
[4] Obama Contracts: https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=743474&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com
[5] Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/chart134693868267340687.png
[6] Romney Contracts: https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=743475&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com
Click here to print.