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Presidential Futures Make a Big Move: Discuss

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On September 10, 2012 @ 8:30 pm In Markets,Politics | Comments Disabled

I was never a big fan of Intrade markets [1] — in the past, I have suggested they act as super polls of all the other polls, — they don’t predict the future, rather, they summarize the state of the moment.

Regardless, if I was a strategist in the Romney camp, I would be concerned about this (via Maoxian [2]).

Its the subject of tonite’s Open Thread.


click for bigger charts
Intrade: Obama Contracts [4]

Intrade: Romney Contracts [6]



What say ye ?


Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog

URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/09/presidential-futures-make-a-big-move/

URLs in this post:

[1] Intrade markets: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474

[2] Maoxian: https://twitter.com/maoxian/status/245295650256846848

[3] Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/chart134693868267340697.png

[4] Obama Contracts: https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=743474&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com

[5] Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/chart134693868267340687.png

[6] Romney Contracts: https://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/timeAndSalesForm.jsp?contractId=743475&tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com

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