Consumer inflation in Oct rose .1% headline m/o/m and .2% core. The headline figure was in line with estimates but the core rate was .1 of a % higher. The y/o/y gain headline is 2.2%, the highest since April and is above the 1.6% avg hourly earnings gain seen in Oct and is a clear squeeze on many. The core rate was up 2% y/o/y. The .2% decline in energy prices was offset by a .2% gain in food. Owners Equivalent Rent, 24% of CPI, was higher by .2% m/o/m and 2.1% y/o/y and Rent of Primary Residence was up by .4%, the biggest m/o/m gain since Nov ’07. Apparel prices were higher by .7%. New and used vehicle prices were lower. Medical care costs were flat as were commodity prices. Bottom line, on a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI index went to another all time high and is up 2.2% y/o/y, a 6 month high. I continue to state the absolute index level in addition to the rate of change because many Americans are not seeing their highest income ever just as we’re seeing the highest cost of living ever. With consumer spending about 70% of growth, it obviously is important.

Category: MacroNotes

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

2 Responses to “CPI benign? Not for many.”

  1. ConscienceofaConservative says:

    The CPI came out today. I ran what ever Bloomberg function that permits drilling down to the relevant sub-index and saw pluses and minuses and thought about which products and services do I buy have dropped in price. Outside of computers an tv’s which account for a very small percentage of my household budget, none at all.
    Don’t know how to say it but the numbers don’t pass the paper-napkin test. My food budget, housing budget, insurance budget, etc are all up YOY.

  2. Phil says:

    I enjoy your comments a great deal, but I don’t much enjoy reading them. All those sentences run together, especially with the fractional percentages and abbreviations make it hard to read. White space is your friend.

    I value your comments but I would value them more if they were easier to read. Thanks!