click for larger chart

Source: Bianco Research



The chart above shows a composite of market returns by month since 1981.

This is merely a rough overview, and does not have much in the way of predictive value. What we can say is that on average, December has been a pretty good month for equities the past few decades.

Some folks disagree that this December is going to continue that tendency. Se e.g., MarketBeat: December Rally No Sure Thing.


Category: Markets, Trading

Please use the comments to demonstrate your own ignorance, unfamiliarity with empirical data and lack of respect for scientific knowledge. Be sure to create straw men and argue against things I have neither said nor implied. If you could repeat previously discredited memes or steer the conversation into irrelevant, off topic discussions, it would be appreciated. Lastly, kindly forgo all civility in your discourse . . . you are, after all, anonymous.

6 Responses to “December is Usually Good for Stocks”

  1. idaman says:

    This december is unique.

    On the downside:

    -capital gains and dividend tax rates go up
    -possible no fiscal cliff deal

    On the upside:

    - fiscal cliff deal may be inked

  2. warren.buffett says:

    all predictions work till it doesn’t

  3. VennData says:


    Not in science. Science works, by definition. And judging by the election, a slim majority of Americans believe in science. The rest believe in spite of two failures that tax cuts pay for themselves.

    They support a party that withholds CBO studies show tax cuts for the rich don’t do a damn thing. Counter examples are powerful.things, They believe otherwise.

    They believe what their daddie told.them.

  4. Humble request to ditch the pop up adds that show up on the Mobil version. I’m completely supportive of you making gobs of money off this site but playing wack-a-mole with a Disney world ad bites. Maybe you could just imbed them on the page and we could admire them and then keep scrolling or even click. Also I wonder if there is a way to feed a random amazon wish list entry as a daily thing. I could imagine seeing a request for say the latest PJ Harvey album show up and thinking he doesn’t have that I’ll get it for him.

  5. Jack Damn says:

    Pro Tip: if you keep your finger on the screen of your mobile device, and slowly scroll down, it will suppress the pop-up Ads here. Don’t lift your finger while on the page. It works best if there’s a long post. Just keep your finder on the touch screen and barely scroll down as you read. Obviously, once your lift your finger, the Ad returns and a puppy dies.

    Of course, a pop-up blocker for your mobile browser does a better job.

    Tested only on the iPad, but what else is there?

    “Perhaps a lunatic was simply a minority of one.” – George Orwell, 1984

  6. [...] post is motivated by a piece I read over at The Big Picture blog, by Barry RItholtz, who runs a blog I like very much.  In that entry, he republishes Jim [...]