To answer that question, look at the chart above, courtesy of Société Générale’s Albert Edwards, who asks the question “Are equities really unambiguously cheap?“. (Cyclical Earnings charts after the jump).
Shiller’s CAPE chart shows that while US equities are fairly reasonably priced, they are not, to use Edwards term, “unambiguously cheap.” But for about a week in March of 2009, they were, but if you blinked you may have missed it.
Europe, on the other hand, appears to be appreciably cheaper than US equities. (Funny how recessions tend to do that). We have about a 16% European weighting, primarily through ETFs like GAL and DVYE.
Regardless, contrarians may wish to take note of this from a valuation perspective.
Are equities really unambiguously cheap?
Albert Edwards, Global Strategy Weekly
Société Générale, February 14, 2013
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