Nick Timiraos explains how the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates low is causing home prices to grow faster than they normally would during a recovery, and that has some experts worried.

Category: Real Estate, Video

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13 Responses to “Are Home Prices Are Rising Too Fast?”

  1. Chief Tomahawk says:

    Saw an SFGate article recently which said one homebuyer was using an “interest-only” loan to buy. I believe that means the third “i” in Warren Buffett’s investing gameplan has been turned loose yet again. Probably only because Uncle Sam is the 4th “i”.

  2. wally says:

    Interesting points. The mirror image issue is that middle class incomes have not risen for many years. Eventually that plays havoc with any modern developed economy because consumer spending is the foundation of all such economies. This will become a bigger and bigger structural issue – and political issue – in the years ahead.

  3. rj chicago says:

    Read yesterday’s post by BR originated by Mark Hanson Advisors – Nuf said.

  4. wisegrowth says:

    We need to keep in mind that there was an income shock to the economy by high income earners just before the end of 2012 due to a tax change. This extra income at the high income level of the economy has made its way into the stock market and the real estate market. The income to support the rise in these asset values won’t be sustained after a few months.
    My view is that the economy was pushed closer to a recession because of the income shock to the economy.
    I posted this explanation for you all…

    http://effectivedemand.typepad.com/ed/2013/04/an-income-shock-can-push-us-into-an-economic-contraction.html

  5. BuildingCom says:

    Sadly, prices weren’t allowed to fall due to interference and the end result is the market was never allowed to clear.

    What does that mean? Simply put, the housing price correction has been delayed and prices have even further to fall.

  6. MikeNY says:

    It’s right out of the Greenspan playbook, people: the only solution to a burst bubble is … another, preferably bigger, bubble!

  7. Angryman1 says:

    Nope, cause prices aren’t rising that fast. Note where they are rising and where they are still falling. Classic. Eventually those areas booming will cool and those areas struggling will nominally rise at a constant rate.

    • BuildingCom says:

      Any increase in already massively inflated prices is considered rising too fast.

  8. AtlasRocked says:

    *SNIP*

    Ideological nonsense deleted due to stupidity

  9. ByteMe says:

    Not sure we’re in “bubble territory” again, but…

    What I’m seeing is that in 2004-2007, we had a huge number of smaller investors buying up real estate, but they didn’t have the deep pockets to sustain themselves during tough times and they were overpaying for their investments. Obvious bad outcome.

    Now what we’re seeing is a smaller number of deep pocketed large investors using cheap money to swoop in and buy undervalued properties and renting them. A year ago, we had no problem picking up a reasonably priced investment property; this year, we’ve tried for 7 properties so far and haven’t been able to do the deal because someone else with deeper pockets wanted to pay more than was reasonable (considering the work involved in renting properties, anything less than an 8% annual return seems stupid to me, but clearly not to someone with a huge wad of someone else’s cheap money).

    So, there’s not a bubble yet… but there are definitely pockets of inefficient money out there.

  10. AtlasRocked says:

    Over time, that gentle urging was transformed into government-set quotas promulgated by HUD, requiring that a certain percentage of the mortgages that the GSEs purchase were made to the “underserved population.” In 1996, the quota was set at 40%, and it continued to rise until 2008 when it reached 56%.

    http://ebook.law.uiowa.edu/ebook/content/promoting-homeownership-us-rise-and-fall-fannie-mae-and-freddie-mac

    You’re part of the cover up Barry. You wrote your whole book, and deliberately omitted this historically significant policy.

  11. Reality check: At its peak in 2005 median national home price exceeded its historic price/family-income ratio trend by 52% ($75k). By 2009 it declined to 7% and finally attained equilibrium in 2011. Homes were 14% overpriced in the 1989 realty bubble.

    The median home is presently a mere 2% ($3k) above trend. New Homes are overpriced by 4% ($9k). No story here…

    Realty Bubbles Monitor charts: http://trendlines.ca/free/economics/RealtyBubblesMonitor/RealtyBubblesMonitor.htm