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World’s Biggest ETF/Contrarian Indicator: GLD > SPY
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On April 15, 2013 @ 12:08 pm In Contrary Indicators,ETFs,Gold & Precious Metals,Technical Analysis | Comments Disabled
GLD was briefly the world’s biggest exchange-traded fund. In August 2011, GLD had assets of more than $77 billion, surpassing SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) for a short time. The SPDR Gold Trust’s market capitalization rose to $76.7 billion — gold briefly topped $1,880/ounce. At the same time, SPY’s “capitalization” was ~$74.4 billion.
I missed this detail in real time (I caught the Bond version in 2003). With the benefit of hindsight, its easy to say this was a contrarian signal. Not that you should short GLD, although that surely was a wonderful trade. But rather, that SPY was attractive, as this was a sign of extreme dislike for equities.
Have a look at the SPY chart and GLD (and Apple as well). click charts to enlarge them
And for a little comparison, here is Apple — GLD looks somewhat similar . . .
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URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/04/worlds-biggest-etfcontrarian-indicator-gld-spy/
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 Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/GLD.png
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