Category: Think Tank, War/Defense

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One Response to “Psychology of Intelligence Analysis”

  1. Frilton Miedman says:

    Interesting –

    “… A substantial body of research in cognitive psychology and decision making is based on the premise that these cognitive limitations cause people to employ various simplifying strategies and rules of thumb to ease the burden of mentally processing information to make judgments and decisions.

    These simple rules of thumb are often useful in helping us deal with complexity and ambiguity. Under Many circumstances, however, they lead to predictably faulty judgments known as cognitive biases.”

    Cognitive bias, indeed -

    So, if I’m an extremely high ranking government official who owns shares in a government contractor that stands to directly gain if we lean toward the notion that a country is harboring WMD’s….what would my cognitive bias be?