- The Big Picture - http://www.ritholtz.com/blog -

Secular Bull Market Roadmap

Posted By Barry Ritholtz On October 17, 2013 @ 12:00 pm In Cycles | Comments Disabled

Click to enlarge
Chart [1]


We have not looked at this chart in a few quarters.

Here’s Merrill:

Secular bull market roadmap: The S&P 500 broke out to new all-time highs in April and has held this breakout. The retest of the prior highs in June confirmed the breakout (prior resistance acted as support) and this is a secular bull market pattern. Holding 1575-1530 keeps this breakout intact.

History of big range breakouts:  Upside breakouts from big trading ranges are bullish long-term even if the US equity market pulls back and spends time retesting the upper portion of the secular trading range.

The key question is, are we now 5 years into a 1982 – 2000 type of a secular bull market, or is this merely a post 19734-74 bounce?



Stephen Suttmeier, MacNeil Curry, Jue Xiong
Monthly chart portfolio of global markets
Bank of America Merrill Lynch, October 1, 2013

Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog

URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/10/secular-bull-market-roadmap/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Screen-Shot-2013-10-07-at-9.22.31-AM.png

Copyright © 2008 The Big Picture. All rights reserved.