- The Big Picture - http://www.ritholtz.com/blog -
Weakest Part of Presidential Cycle
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On October 3, 2013 @ 11:30 am In Cycles,Investing,Markets | 5 Comments
Market risk: Weakest part of Presidential Cycle starts in mid 2013 (Jul/Aug peak)
2013 is the first year of a new Presidential Cycle. The first quarter of the first year of the cycle is down 1.33% on average (1Q in 2013 bucked this trend), but the weakest period of the Presidential Cycle is from a July/August Year 1 peak to a September Year 2 (mid-term election year) low. The average decline over this period is 4.31%. With the rally in September, 2013 is bucking this weaker Presidential Cycle period so far.
Market Analysis: Monthly chart portfolio of global markets
BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research 01 October 2013
Article printed from The Big Picture: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog
URL to article: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/10/weakest-part-of-presidential-cycle/
URLs in this post:
 Image: http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/Weakest-part-of-Presidential-Cycle.png
Copyright © 2008 The Big Picture. All rights reserved.