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How accurate is the groundhog?
Posted By Barry Ritholtz On February 2, 2014 @ 7:00 am In Bad Math,UnScience | Comments Disabled
Not so good – less than chance, in fact.
Approximately 90% of the time, Phil sees his shadow. Records indicate he’s right just 39% of the time — worse than a coin flip.
Phil and his ancestors have been doing this since 1887 in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. -Wit & Wisdom 
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 Wit & Wisdom: http://witandwisdom.org/archive/20030217.htm
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