Posts filed under “Apprenticed Investor”

John Bogle’s Investing Genius Needs An Update

Now before I commit blasphemy, a few words: I am as close to being a Boglehead as you will find, without actually being one. The bulk of my portfolio is in passive indexes. Most of the assets I manage are in a broad allocation model.

This is a tribute to the wisdom and teachings of investing legend John Bogle, who founded Vanguard Group 40 years ago on the premise that matching market-based returns yielded better results for most investors than picking individual stocks, market-timing or any other investment strategy. During the past four decades, the sleepy firm Bogle started has turned into an investment giant, now managing about $3 trillion.

But we have learned many things during the intervening years. I don’t want to commit the sin of ignoring the accumulated quantitative evidence. There are certain mathematical truths in investing, and to pretend they don’t exist would harm my portfolio (and my clients).

Please understand that my deviation from Bogle’s philosophy isn’t due to hubris, but rather, mathematics. Certain facts of long-term investing have such strong evidence behind them that they are almost incontrovertible. It would be irresponsible for any investor, or their fiduciary, to ignore this evidence. Hence, I find myself at odds with someone I respect in four areas of portfolio management:

Continues here

 

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, ETFs, Investing

“I come not to praise forecasters but to bury them.”

>   My Sunday Washington Post Business Section column is out. This morning, we look at why It’s time to market forecasters to admit the errors of their ways. It is yet another look at the parade of really bad forecasts we get treated to constantly in the world of investing and finance. Here’s an excerpt…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Investing, Really, really bad calls

The Basic Simple Truths of Investing

For investors, it’s a perfect time to go back to the basics Barry Ritholtz Washington Post, December 21, 2014     Look around you: This is the time of year when the pages of newspapers and magazines are filled with predictions and lists and all manner of money-losing nonsense. I have pushed back against much…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Cognitive Foibles, Investing

Back to Basics

>   My Sunday Washington Post Business Section column is out. This morning, we look at a few basics of investing that many investors get wrong. Here’s an excerpt from the column: “Today, I am going to suggest you take a different route: Focus on 10 basic, simple truths that many investors seemingly ignore. Some…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Investing

$100,000 Says My Portfolio Will Beat Tony Robbins’

Motivational speaker Anthony Robbins has a new book on investing, “Money: Master the Game.” It is his first book in two decades, and he has been everywhere, flogging it directly onto the best-seller list. The good news is that the book contains snippets of conversations with some of the world’s greatest investors. The bad news…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation

Better Than All Weather Portfolio . . .

>   My Sunday Washington Post Business Section column is out. This morning, we take yet another at Tony Robbin’s All Weather Portfolio. The print version had the headline Why the all-weather portfolio is a wash-out while online, it was Better Than All Weather Portfolio. Rather than merely criticize Robbin’s 55% bond, 15% commodity portfolio, I…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Investing, Really, really bad calls

Congratulations! You just signed a $325 million deal. Now what?

Congratulations! You just signed a $325 million deal. Now what? Barry Ritholtz Washington Post November 23, 2014       Last week, we learned that Giancarlo Stanton signed an enormous contract: a 13-year, $325 million deal with the Miami Marlins. Before the 25-year-old slugger starts to celebrate, there are quite a few things he needs…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Investing, Wages & Income

Stop Making Intellectually Disingenuous Market Arguments

The quality of our discourse is decaying. This was once a standard complaint about the tone and depth of our national political debate. Now it has spilled into the financial realm. Shall we blame Twitter, trolls or bloggers? I am unsure of the underlying reason. But as we have seen far too, financial discussions seem…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Cognitive Foibles, Financial Press, Really, really bad calls, Weblogs

A $325 Million Deal Still Needs a Plan

>   My Sunday Washington Post Business Section column is out. This morning, we look at Giancarlo Stanton’s enormous a 13-year, $325 million contract with the Miami Marlins. The print version had the full headline A $325 million deal still needs a plan, while the online version was Congratulations! You just signed a $325 million deal. Now what?….Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Investing

Tony Robbin’s Recent Weather Portfolio

Jim O’Shaugnessy took a closer look at what I am now dubbing the Tony Robbin’s Recent Weather portfolio. It is akin to taking an umbrella today because it rained yesterday. Jim is a quant extraordinaire, and his analysis confirms what I wrote earlier this morning: This is a biased sample, form fitted to have done…Read More

Category: Apprenticed Investor, Asset Allocation, Quantitative, Really, really bad calls