Posts filed under “Bailouts”

Weekend Bailouts and Subsequent Market Reactions

Another weekend, another bailout, another market reaction:

How many Sunday press releases is it going to take to save the financial system from ruin? If you’re are keeping score at home, this is now the sixth Sunday night/Monday morning press release
in 14 months aimed at saving the financial system. Consider the recent history of these weekend rescues:

• August 2007, when the credit crunch was officially recognized by the Fed, when they cut the discount rate.

• December 2007, with the announcement of the TAF and other credit facilities;

• January 2008 Soc Gen panic, and a 75 bps emergency cut;

• March 2008 with the Bear Stearns bailout.

• July 2008 the first Fannie/Freddie rescue attempt

• September 2008 the actual Bailout of Fannie/Freddie

Five observations/questions/takeaways from the past of weekend rescues history:

1. A strong rally lasts for a while, but it eventually fades and makes a new lower low;

2. Each "rescue rally" has been shorter in duration and weaker in intensity than the immediately prior one;

3. Friday’s close becomes your new line in the sand; If and when that is breached, look out below.

4. The pre-Asian open news pattern reveals the Asset price focus is a large part of these issues; It also speaks to our overseas creditors/Overlords;

5. What form of free markets have we evolved into?  It is not Capitalism, it is not Socialism, it is not intelligent regulation. WTF is this?!?

Lastly, who wants to bet me that this will be the very last bailout? Any takers? Any?

Category: Bailouts, Markets, Psychology, Taxes and Policy

Comparing Fannie to Bear

Interesting video discussion by John Authers of the FT:

click for video:
Freddie_bear

via FT, September 8 2008,

Category: Bailouts, Trading, Video

Futures Up Triple Digits on Bailout

Category: Bailouts, Markets, Trading

Fannie & Freddie Weekend Wrap Up/Linkfest

So much for a relaxing weekend! We spilled plenty of pixels on Fannie (FNM) & Freddie (FRE)this weekend, as did lots of other folks. What follows is all of the relevant commentary I could scratch together:

Here’s TBP recap:

Treasury Takeover of GSEs: 10 Key Points

Fannie & Freddie Bailout:  In terms of Conservatorship, Management, Shareholders,  Mortgages, Legislation, Foreign Holders,  Financial sector, Politics, Timing, & GSE Insolvency

Here Comes the Half Trillion Dollar Fannie/Freddie Bailout!

All of the Treasury, Federal Reserve and FDIC news releases:

Treasury Department
http://treasury.gov/press/releases/hp1129.htm

Treasury Department Reports (PDFs):

 

Federal Reserve
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/bcreg/20080907a.htm

Chairman Bernanke
http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/other/20080907a.htm

FDIC React to Takeover
http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/press/2008/pr08078.html

Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac Shareholder Ownership, via MSN:

Federal National Mortgage Association: Ownership

Freddie Mac: Ownership   

Video Coverage:

Treasury News Conference:

Treasury Unveils Takeover of Freddie and Fannie – Part 1

Treasury Unveils Takeover of Freddie and Fannie – Part 2

Treasury Unveils Takeover of Freddie and Fannie – Part 3

John Authers, FT

GSE Bazooka Fired  Ticker Forum, Karl Denninger (Video) 

 

Wall Street Research

Bringing Out the “Bazooka”  David A. Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch (PDF)   

First thoughts on the market impact of the Treasury’s GSE plan, Goldman Sachs (PDF)

Paulson Begins Gradual Wind-Down of GSEs within Conservatorship,  Institutional Risk Analyst      

Pershing Square Capital Letter to Treasury Department Regarding Fannie and Freddie

What the Mainstream Media had to say:

Monday, September 8, 2008

Mounting Woes Left Officials With Little Room to Maneuver WSJ
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122083060663308415.html

Fannie, Freddie Credit-Default Swaps May Be Settled Bloomberg

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ajsxbVS.W2lQ&

U.S. To Take Over Mortgage Giants Fannie, Freddie NPR Audio   
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=94365278&ft=1&f=1001

The Dilemma of Fannie and Freddie  NYT
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/08/business/08norris.html

In Crisis, Paulson’s Stunning Use of Federal Power  Washington Post

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/07/AR2008090702486.html

The How, Why and What Of Fannie-Freddie Plan  MORNING BRIEF 

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122085653625309655.html

  


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Category: Bailouts, Credit, Financial Press, Weblogs

Treasury Takeover of GSEs: 10 Key Points

Category: Bailouts, Credit, Real Estate, Taxes and Policy

Treasury Announcements on Fannie/Freddie

Here are the official statements on the Fannie & Freddie bailouts:

Statement by Secretary Henry M. Paulson, Jr. on Treasury and Federal
Housing Finance Agency Action to Protect Financial Markets and Taxpayers:

Good morning. I’m joined here by Jim Lockhart, Director of the new independent regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, FHFA.

In July, Congress granted the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and FHFA new authorities with respect to the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Since that time, we have closely monitored financial market and business conditions and have analyzed in great detail the current financial condition of the GSEs – including the ability of the GSEs to weather a variety of market conditions going forward. As a result of this work, we have determined that it is necessary to take action. (continued after jump)

-Treasury Department, September 7, 2008
http://treasury.gov/press/releases/hp1129.htm

Treasury Department Reports:

FHFA Director Lockhart Remarks on Housing GSE Actions
Fact Sheet: FHFA Conservatorship
Fact Sheet: Treasury Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement
Fact Sheet: Treasury MBS Purchase Program
Fact Sheet: Treasury GSE Credit Facility

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Category: Bailouts, Credit, Federal Reserve, Real Estate, Taxes and Policy

Treasury: Bailout Details Sunday 11 AM

Category: Bailouts, Credit, Real Estate, Taxes and Policy

Spinning a Grand Old Fantasy

Jim McTague, a dyed in the wool Republican, is surprisingly negative on the McCain/Palin team. Recall that McTague forecast the GOP would retain both houses in 2006, based on a calculation relying on campaign fund raising. McTague sounds more like a Democrat than a Republican.

Note the discussion on bailouts at the end:

THE 2008 REPUBLICAN PLATFORM RELEASED at the party convention in St. Paul last week is a grandiloquent document, replete with Reaganesque calls for lower taxes, smaller government, and greater self-reliance. An honest librarian would file it in the fiction section.

I’m not a naïf. I appreciate that searching for candor among politicians is about as productive as shopping for a Rolex at the corner drugstore. All politicians make promises that they never intend to keep. You generally can wrest a straighter answer from 16-year-old teenager intent on deceiving you than you can from a campaigning politician.

Even so, this GOP document is so divorced from reality that it approaches parody. The authors should have penned the document in cuneiform, because it describes an ancient GOP, not the party of today.

One of the platform’s most monumental political principles is daily being trampled upon by the Bush administration, with the acquiescence of most GOP members of Congress. This is contained in a section devoted to the housing crisis that declares, "We do not support government bailouts of private institutions. Government interference in the markets exacerbates problems in the marketplace and causes the free market to take longer to correct itself. We believe in the free market as the best tool to sustained prosperity and opportunity for all…"

Democrats are depicted as the party of big, intrusive government, willing to "ignore fiscal problems while squandering billions on ineffective programs." The GOP, however, has no moral legs to stand on when it hurls such insults.

The Bush administration has bailed out Wall Street, and stands ready to bail out mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac — in the process abetting a slide into more intrusive government. If we are headed down the road to socialism, then the GOP can be credited with setting the pavers.  (Emphasis added)

Sources:
The GOP has lost its way.   
Spinning a Grand Old Fantasy
MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2008 D.C. CURRENT 
JIM MCTAGUE
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB122065383575605429.html

Video

http://link.brightcove.com/services/link/bcpid86245679/bclid1137792066/bctid1776561804

Category: Bailouts, Politics, Video

Barney Frank: Treasury GSE Intervention is a “Done Deal”

Category: Bailouts, Credit, Real Estate

Barney Frank: Treasury GSE Intervention is a “Done Deal”

Category: Bailouts, Credit, Real Estate