Posts filed under “Contrary Indicators”

Newsweek: Why It’s Worse Than You Think

No, this is not a cover indicator — the cover indicator requires several factors not present here: It helps to be for a widely
tradable item (Stocks, Oil, Bonds, etc.), and it has to be something that is widely known  — A recession is questionable amongst the pros, although surveys make it clear the public is hip to this.

The economy is simply too big and too general to
be much of a trading tell via a cover. Same thing goes for single companies, too — Google, Apple etc.

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Newsweek_recession

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Previously:
The Single Company Magazine Cover Indicator (March 2006)     http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2006/03/the_single_comp.html
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Source:
Why It’s Worse Than You Think

Daniel Gross
NEWSWEEK  June 16, 2008   
http://www.newsweek.com/id/140553/page/1

Category: Contrary Indicators, Financial Press, Psychology, Trading

Crude Oil = $139+

Category: Commodities, Contrary Indicators, Energy, Psychology

Uh-Oh: Economist Cover on Oil

Category: Commodities, Contrary Indicators, Energy, Financial Press

Understanding Contrary Indicators

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Markets, Psychology

Bear vs Bull (1962)

Category: Contrary Indicators, Psychology

This Bull Has (Had) Legs !

Quite a while ago, I had an interesting conversation with a smart fundie manager. We had opposing views about many things. In particular, we disagreed upon was the value of (non-price) sentiment indicators. His argument was that when stocks get cheap enough — as reflected in their Prices, P/Es and cash flow measures — other…Read More

Category: Contrary Indicators, Financial Press, Investing, Markets, Psychology

Survey: Is the U.S. economy on the rebound?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Psychology

The Recession Buy Indicator

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Investing, Markets, Psychology, Quantitative

Signs of a Housing Bottom?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Real Estate

What’s Next for Crude Oil ?

Category: Commodities, Contrary Indicators, Energy, Psychology, Technical Analysis