Posts filed under “Contrary Indicators”

Bear vs Bull (1962)

We talked a bit about the magazine cover indicator Wednesday night. I don’t think Ken Heebner on the cover of Fortune is not a great example.

How is this June 1, 1962 Time Magazine issue?  Perhaps this is a more significant example of the Magazine cover indicator?


That cover, showing a Bear mauling a Bull, took place when stocks were getting whacked.

As you can see from the chart below, this obviously Bearish cover worked well as a contrary indicatorit was not a bad entry point to get long equities:


Dow Industrials 1962 – 1968
click for larger chart

Category: Contrary Indicators, Psychology

This Bull Has (Had) Legs !

Quite a while ago, I had an interesting conversation with a smart fundie manager. We had opposing views about many things. In particular, we disagreed upon was the value of (non-price) sentiment indicators. His argument was that when stocks get cheap enough — as reflected in their Prices, P/Es and cash flow measures — other…Read More

Category: Contrary Indicators, Financial Press, Investing, Markets, Psychology

Survey: Is the U.S. economy on the rebound?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Psychology

The Recession Buy Indicator

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Investing, Markets, Psychology, Quantitative

Signs of a Housing Bottom?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Real Estate

What’s Next for Crude Oil ?

Category: Commodities, Contrary Indicators, Energy, Psychology, Technical Analysis

Are Markets Leading or Lagging Indicators ?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Markets, Psychology, Technical Analysis, Trading

Economist Cover: The Great American Slowdown

Category: Contrary Indicators, Economy, Financial Press

Contrary Indicator: Page Views Skyrocket!

Category: Contrary Indicators, Markets, Trading, Weblogs

Barrons Review: Is the Magic back at Disney?

Category: Contrary Indicators, Corporate Management, Financial Press, Quantitative, Technical Analysis, Valuation