Posts filed under “Cycles”

Why Minsky Matters

Click for radio segment.

Source: BBC Radio 4

Category: Cycles, Digital Media, Sentiment, Video

Category: Cycles, Economy, Think Tank

Psychology Charts & Sentiment Cycles (Updated)

We are overdue for an update of these charts. (See also Economic Cycles):   Bubbles and Manias Source: Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Dept. of Global Studies & Geography, Hofstra University ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ Gartner: Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Source: Gartner August 2013 ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ ~~~ Real Estate Cycle of Sentiment ~~~  

Category: Cycles, Psychology

Where Are We in the Bubble and Mania Cycle?

Bubbles and Manias Source: Jean-Paul Rodrigue, Dept. of Global Studies & Geography, Hofstra University   Josh Brown reminded us yesterday of this terrific chart from Jean-Paul Rodrigue, a professor in the department of global studies and geography Department at Hofstra University. Of course, the key question is: Where are we on the chart? My view…Read More

Category: Cycles, Markets, Psychology

Current Five-Year Bull Market Second Strongest Since WWII

Source: MarketWatch   Continues here

Category: Cycles, Markets

Polar Vortex be gone! At long last, the end of this terrible winter of discontent is nearing. We can say with some degree of confidence that the light at the end of tunnel is not an oncoming locomotive. Today is very likely to be the pivot day marking the end of this endless season. With…Read More

Category: Cycles, Markets, Psychology

Guide to Stock Market Corrections

  The S&P 500 hit 1709 a few weeks back and has since been dropping precipitously, we are now down roughly 3.7% from that level in a short period of time. Heading into today, we’ve been negative 4 days straight and have seen losses during 9 of the last 11 days on both the S&P…Read More

Category: Cycles, Investing, Trading

Merrill’s Secular Road Map Projects S&P 500 2300 in 2017

S&P 2300? Give It Four Years: Ritholtz Chart Source: BAML   It took more than 13 years, but the S&P 500 managed to eclipse its 2007 highs of 1576 earlier this year. This move takes it out of a long term trading range, and according to the Technical Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch,…Read More

Category: Cycles, Technical Analysis

Balenthiran 17.6 Year Cycle

Source: 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle   Interesting take on the longer term Secular Bear Market Vs. Cyclical Bull Market, via Kerry Balenthiran: “My research has identified that a 17.6 year stock market exists within the markets consisting of downtrends lasting 2.2 years and uptrends lasting 4.4 years (2 x 2.2 years), with a combined cycle…Read More

Category: Cycles, Markets

Secular Bull Market Roadmap

Click to enlarge   We have not looked at this chart in a few quarters. Here’s Merrill: Secular bull market roadmap: The S&P 500 broke out to new all-time highs in April and has held this breakout. The retest of the prior highs in June confirmed the breakout (prior resistance acted as support) and this…Read More

Category: Cycles