Posts filed under “Data Analysis”

Category: Credit, Data Analysis, Economy, Think Tank

Where Time Comes From

The time that ends up on your smartphone—and that synchronizes GPS, military operations, financial transactions, and internet communications—originates in a set of atomic clocks on the grounds of the U.S. Naval Observatory. Dr. Demetrios Matsakis, Chief Scientist for USNO’s Time Services, gives a tour.

Category: Data Analysis, Science, Weekend

Longest and Strongest Bull Markets

~~~     A pair of informative tables via Bespoke shows prior bull markets in terms of their length and strength. The bull market which followed the 1987 crash is the grand winner of all markets, lasting an incredible  4494 calendar days and rising 582%. Thats nearly double the 1949-56 rally, its next closest in…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Markets

Riskalyze: Portfolio Risk Analysis

Very cool embeddable tool for the RIA community: Riskalyze    

Category: Data Analysis, Investing

Comparing Recoveries: Real GDP

Source: Crestmont Research   Ed Easterling, president of Crestmont Holdings LLC, created the chart above comparing various economic recoveries. He selected those that followed similar annual declines in real gross domestic product. As the chart shows, the present economic recovery is the most sluggish we have seen. Continues here  

Category: Data Analysis, Economy

A Mis-Leading Labor Market Indicator

A Mis-Leading Labor Market Indicator Samuel Kapon and Joseph Tracy Liberty Street Economics, February 03, 2014     The unemployment rate is a popular measure of the condition of the labor market. With the Great Recession, the unemployment rate increased from a low of 4.4 percent in March 2007 to a peak of 10.0 percent in October 2009….Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Employment, Think Tank

The Bull Market Ends (or Is It Just a Correction?)

We awoke this morning to see futures deep in the red. Over the past two weeks, markets seem indecisive, unable to make much progress. Lots of days began with positive trades, only to roll over and fall into losses. Several days that began in the red closed negative, though usually off their worst levels. Last…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Investing, Technical Analysis, Trading

Discounts, Luxury Sales, and the Consumer (JCP, BBY et. al.)

It has been a confusing few weeks for followers of the retail sector. A mix of disappointing earnings (See Best Buy, J.C. Penny’s and Sears) along with pockets of luxury strength plus strongly trending auto sales has created a jumble. Let’s see if we can make some sense of the entire mess. Let’s start with…Read More

Category: Consumer Spending, Data Analysis, Retail

NFP: Pay No Attention to the Statistician Behind the Curtains

Okay, strap in for yet another tirade on why you should (for the most part) pay very little attention to the monthly Non Farm Payroll data, also know as the Employment Situation. Its hype to usefulness ratio is abysmally low. Long time readers know this is a peeve of mine (See list of prior articles…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Employment

The Plural of Anecdote Is Not Data

Source: Nestler Analytics

Category: Bad Math, Data Analysis, Digital Media, Research