Posts filed under “Data Analysis”
click for ginormous chart
This morning’s column on Inflation truthers led to some emailers insisting inflation numbers are much higher post crisis than pre.
Sorry, but the data says that is simply not true.
Play with the attached FRED XL spread sheets all you want, the data is hard to argue with. (Same goes for energy, especially Oil), Cherry pick whatever time period you want. Tweaj the charts on FRED.
From 2000 to the end of 2008, Food at home averaged 3.00% year over year increases; since 2009 until today, its only been 1.78%.
With Oil, its much more dramatic: Oil averaged 24.9% year over year price increases from 2000 to 2008; Since 2009, its averaged a far more tame 6.5%.
This is an absolutely fascinating — hypnotic even — depiction of what the daily metrics of a New York City Taxi looks like, overlaid on top of a map. You can track passengers, distance traveled, revenue, even tips. Bravo! I wish we could make the data from our business (Financial planning/asset management) look this compelling!…Read More
Regular readers of mine know I spend lots of time debunking bias and cognitive errors. With the markets up as much as they have been, it has been easier to find examples of that error in the bearish camp than the bullish one (See this as an example of cognitive bias in action). The bulls…Read More
Click for an awesome map. Source: Brandon Liu
Category: Data Analysis
For the week ending June 6, the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (STLFSI) rose to -1.256 from -1.289. The latter is currently the lowest level on record for the index, which goes back to December 1993. The recent increase in the index was the first in the past five weeks, and the index has…Read More
If you work in finance, you will invariably come across an example of single-variable analysis. Almost daily, we see terrible examples of this sort of analytic error, rife with logical weakness, yet offered with the highest degree of certainty. The way this works is as follows: Some ominous data point will be shown, along with…Read More