Posts filed under “Economy”

Chart of the Week: Leading Indicators Trend Downwards

Leading Economic Indicators increased m/m 0.1% in February
after negative numbers in January, October, September, August, and July. Since
these are leading indicators, they point to a slowing beginning starting around
February. Half of the 10 index components were up this month. which compares to
3 in January, 5 in December, 7 in November, 2 in October, 4 in September, 4 in
August, and 3 in July.

Leading Indicators Trend Downwards
click for larger chart
Lei_march_05

Source: MFR

Prior economic forecasts by Wall Street have been as high as
4.5-5% (annualized real GDP growth). The recent LEI point to weak GDP growth.

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Quote of the Day:

"Not the maker of plans and promises, but rather the one who offers
faithful service in small matters. This is the person who is most likely to
achieve what is good and lasting."   

~Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe (1749-1832)

Category: Economy, Markets

Risk is on the Rise

Category: Economy, Markets

Is the Consumer’s Ability to Keep Spending in Danger?

Category: Economy

No Goldilocks Economy

Category: Economy, Markets

Be Wary of Anything approaching 140% of GDP

Category: Economy, Investing, Markets

262k!

Category: Economy

Nonfarm Payroll data: 15 year chart

Category: Economy

My expectations about the Jobs Report

Category: Economy, Markets

CNBC The Mystery of the Awful Economists

Category: Economy, Markets, Media

The Mystery of the Awful Economists

“We have 2 classes of forecasters: Those who don’t know… and those who don’t know they don’t know.” — John Kenneth Galbraith I’ve been making a fortune lately. (No, I don’t own any Google IPO shares). Each month, I’ve been betting on the outcome of the Non-Farm Payroll report against my economist colleagues. I’ve been…Read More

Category: Economy, Markets, Politics