Posts filed under “Employment”

Bloggers Take On: Employment

This is another of our new features: Blogger’s Take. It is inspired by — a nice word for stolen — the WSJ’s Economist’s Take, which they post after major economic data releases.

We wanted to do something a bit more informal: Looking at different subjects a bit more in depth, and take in some perspectives from a broad variety of bloggers (as opposed to a narrow slice of Wall Street Dismal Scientists.

Here are our first half dozen responses to the question: "What Up With Employment?"
>

"A striking characteristic of the US non-farms job data since the trough of 2002 is that recovery growth is the weakest since records began in 1939 (uncertain BLS September revision notwithstanding). Even the brief and frail recovery between the 1980 and 1981 recessions was stronger. It may be that growth has not yet peaked – but that would make this jobs recovery the slowest to pan out on record.

Moreover, the latest non-farm payrolls data paints a picture of deterioration, particularly in construction and related industries. Whilst both the unemployment rate and hourly earnings data stuck out as good news, the fact is they are lagging indicators. The Fed has ammo to hold on this data; but should coming months show job losses (not outlandish) they might still choose to wait on clearer inflation (and BLS) data before contemplating the wisdom of cuts."

- Rawdon, Capital Chronicle

Read More

Category: Blog Spotlight, Employment

Household versus Establishment Surveys, part 42

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Employment

Absurdly Large BLS Revisions, part II

Category: Data Analysis, Employment

An Absurdly Large Outlier in the History of BLS Revisions

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Employment

NFP Day!

Category: Economy, Employment

What’s Really Propping Up The Economy?

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Employment

Are Labor Costs Really Rising ?

Category: Economy, Employment, Psychology

Welcome Back My Friends . . .

Category: Commodities, Employment, Energy, Inflation, Markets, Psychology

The Odd Recovery

Category: Economy, Employment, Markets, Psychology

Moving the Goalposts: Fugly NFP

Category: Data Analysis, Economy, Employment