Posts filed under “Federal Reserve”

Atlanta Fed’s Forecast for 2015 Q1

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Think Tank

Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound

Category: Federal Reserve, Think Tank

The Fed’s Hidden Message Contained Within the Dots . . .

Of all the maddening things about this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, perhaps the single most annoying is the hoopla surrounding the so-called dot plot. It even has its own Twitter hashtag: #Dotplot. The dot plot is a chart that shows the expectations of each FOMC member — absent their names — for where they believe the…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, UnGuru

The Fed — Drunken Coxswain of the SS America

The Fed – Drunken Coxswain of the SS America Paul L. Kasriel The Econtrarian, March 17, 2015     Back on January 25, I penned a piece entitled “The Fed – Lucky or Smart?”. In that commentary I argued that the Fed was managing the supply of total thin-air credit, i.e., the sum of commercial…Read More

Category: Economy, Federal Reserve, Think Tank

Art Cashin: Fed Actions In 2004 (“Patience”)

Form Strategas by way of Art Cashin of UBS:   Everything old is new again. Here’s an interesting surprise from Jason’s people at Strategas, courtesy of my good friend and remote FoF member, Alan Battles of Salt Lake City. (Fed statements 2004.) Please note the “patient” in the March statement.

Category: Federal Reserve

Do Lower Gasoline Prices Boost Confidence?

Do Lower Gasoline Prices Boost Confidence? Aditya Aladangady and Claudia R. Sahm FEDS Notes, March 6, 2015     A gallon of gasoline currently costs one third less than it did last summer, as shown by the solid line in Figure 1. Gasoline makes up 5 percent of average family spending, so lower prices at the pump…Read More

Category: Energy, Federal Reserve, Sentiment, Think Tank

Interesting analysis from Torsten Sløk of Deutsche Bank:   Source: Torsten Sløk, Ph.D., Deutsche Bank Research

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates

Time for Janet Yellen to Go On the Ellen DeGeneres Show

This week, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on presidential contenders for 2016 came out. It was the usual sort of thing: Favorable versus unfavorable ratings for the candidates: Democrats like Hillary; Republicans like Jeb (but not as much as Dems like Hillary); no one likes Chris Christie or Donald Trump. But you might have missed a fascinating tidbit buried…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Really, really bad calls, Taxes and Policy

What the Fed Will Be Looking at in Today’s Employment Report

Today’s employment report may be hard to read: The severe weather in the Northeast and Midwest affected the Labor Department’s data-collection process. The weather has been so disruptive that department  employees can’t even get into the office on time to release this morning’s report. For the first time ever, it’s being released online. But as I…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Employment, Federal Reserve

“Pulling Out All The Stops”

Cassandra Does Tokyo is an Investment Banker now relocated to Japan ~~~ Journos, observers, commentators, bloggers, traders, analysts, strategies, newscasters, reporters, and so it seems just about everyone else has a view on QE. And the result is overwhelminglyINTENSE. They’ve PULLED OUT ALL THE STOPS!!!!. No, not the ECB. I mean, anyone writing about the ECB’s announced…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Financial Press, Think Tank