Posts filed under “Federal Reserve”

The Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policies on Bank Soundness

Category: Federal Reserve, Think Tank

Why Didn’t Inflation Collapse in the Great Recession?

Why Didn’t Inflation Collapse in the Great Recession? Marco Del Negro, Marc Giannoni, Raiden Hasegawa, and Frank Schorfheide Liberty Street Economics     GDP contracted 4 percent from 2008:Q2 to 2009:Q2, and the unemployment rate peaked at 10 percent in October 2010. Traditional backward-looking Phillips curve models of inflation, which relate inflation to measures of “slack” in activity…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Inflation, Think Tank

How Greenspan Became the ex-Maestro

On this day in 1987, Alan Greenspan became chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. This anniversary allows us to take a quick look at what followed over the next two decades. As it turned out, it was one of the most interesting and, to be blunt, weirdest tenures ever for a Fed chairman. This was…Read More

Category: Bailouts, Federal Reserve, Markets, Really, really bad calls

Hey, Janet (with apologies to the Beatles)

With August upon us and many readers likely at the beach, here is some levity from one side of the vocal debate on the future of Fed policy. Please hum the melody of Hey Jude as you read the lyrics. With thanks and credit to the Beatles.   “Hey Janet” Hey Janet, don’t make it…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Humor, Music

Rising Revenue + Increased Profits = Bull Rally

click for larger chart     I am off to Maine today for a few days of fishing and economic debate and drinking. Before I go, I wanted to share a chart we pulled together in the office yesterday from the BBRG terminal. It was in response to the usual statement “This rally is driven…Read More

Category: Earnings, Federal Reserve, Valuation

QE Auctions of Treasury Bonds

Category: Bailouts, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Think Tank

Rising Rates Unliklely to Kill This Bull Market

One of the oldest rules on Wall Street is, don’t fight the Fed. When the Federal Reserve is cutting rates, you want to be long equities, and when it is tightening, get out of the way. This has been a cause for concern since the Fed began talking of tapering its program of quantitative easing…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Investing, Markets

Reputation and Liquidity Traps

Category: Federal Reserve, Think Tank

QE: When and How Should the Fed Exit?

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Think Tank

Tapering Is Now Tightening

Tapering Is Now Tightening David R. Kotok July 19, 2014     For a long time, as we saw it, tapering and the threat of tapering (as in last year’s taper tantrum) did not constitute tightening. Today we explore why we believe the situation has now changed. In order to understand why tapering was not…Read More

Category: Bailouts, Credit, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Think Tank