Posts filed under “Federal Reserve”

Art Cashin: Fed Actions In 2004 (“Patience”)

Form Strategas by way of Art Cashin of UBS:

 

Everything old is new again.

Here’s an interesting surprise from Jason’s people at Strategas, courtesy of my good friend and remote FoF member, Alan Battles of Salt Lake City. (Fed statements 2004.) Please note the “patient” in the March statement.

Category: Federal Reserve

Do Lower Gasoline Prices Boost Confidence?

Do Lower Gasoline Prices Boost Confidence? Aditya Aladangady and Claudia R. Sahm FEDS Notes, March 6, 2015     A gallon of gasoline currently costs one third less than it did last summer, as shown by the solid line in Figure 1. Gasoline makes up 5 percent of average family spending, so lower prices at the pump…Read More

Category: Energy, Federal Reserve, Sentiment, Think Tank

Interesting analysis from Torsten Sløk of Deutsche Bank:   Source: Torsten Sløk, Ph.D., Deutsche Bank Research

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates

Time for Janet Yellen to Go On the Ellen DeGeneres Show

This week, the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on presidential contenders for 2016 came out. It was the usual sort of thing: Favorable versus unfavorable ratings for the candidates: Democrats like Hillary; Republicans like Jeb (but not as much as Dems like Hillary); no one likes Chris Christie or Donald Trump. But you might have missed a fascinating tidbit buried…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Really, really bad calls, Taxes and Policy

What the Fed Will Be Looking at in Today’s Employment Report

Today’s employment report may be hard to read: The severe weather in the Northeast and Midwest affected the Labor Department’s data-collection process. The weather has been so disruptive that department  employees can’t even get into the office on time to release this morning’s report. For the first time ever, it’s being released online. But as I…Read More

Category: Data Analysis, Employment, Federal Reserve

“Pulling Out All The Stops”

Cassandra Does Tokyo is an Investment Banker now relocated to Japan ~~~ Journos, observers, commentators, bloggers, traders, analysts, strategies, newscasters, reporters, and so it seems just about everyone else has a view on QE. And the result is overwhelminglyINTENSE. They’ve PULLED OUT ALL THE STOPS!!!!. No, not the ECB. I mean, anyone writing about the ECB’s announced…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Financial Press, Think Tank

Do contractionary monetary policy shocks expand shadow banking?

Category: Federal Reserve, Think Tank

Bianco: Lack of Inflation to Prevent Fed Rate Move

Click for video.

Source: Bloomberg

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Inflation, Video

U.S. Treasuries Off to Best Start Since 1974

“Some day interest rates will go up. Until then the Treasury bears are missing one of the greatest bond rallies in history.” — Jim Bianco, Bianco Research Since 2015 began, everyone has been fixated on the U.S. dollar and oil prices. I want to direct your attention to what may be the greatest show now…Read More

Category: Contrary Indicators, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates

Central Bank Update

Central Bank Update David R. Kotok Cumberland, February 3, 2015     Over the years we have posted an aggregate central bank balance sheet chart on our website. The current chart includes only three central banks: the European Central Bank (ECB), the Federal Reserve (Fed), and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). We send thanks to…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Think Tank