Posts filed under “Fixed Income/Interest Rates”

Economy: Hot Enough for Stocks, Cool Enough for Bonds?

My hit today with Pimm Foxx and Betty Liu:


Source: Bloomberg May 15, 2015, 12:30 PM EDT

Category: Asset Allocation, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Media

Bond Tantrum or Schnitzel Tantrum

Bond Tantrum or Schnitzel Tantrum David R. Kotok Cumberland Advisors, May 14, 2015       “tan’trum, n. [earlier form tantarum suggests pseudo-L. coinage on tantara.] a violent, willful outburst of annoyance, rage, etc.; a fit of bad temper.”  Source:  Webster’s Deluxe Unabridged Second Edition. Tantara is the Roman word for the blast of a horn…Read More

Category: Credit, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Think Tank

Time to Raise America’s Gas Tax

Get in your car and go for a drive just about anywhere in the U.S. You will be confronted with a transportation system desperately in need of a reboot. I’m not referring to a full upgrade to smart roads — the sensor-driven intelligent system that promises to move vehicles more cheaply and efficiently. Rather, I…Read More

Category: Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Really, really bad calls, Taxes and Policy

Trends Around 1st Fed Rate Hikes

Lessons For Lift Off – Recent sensitivities to interest rates, and trends around the 1st Fed rate hikes of 1994, 1999, and 2004


Source: Credit Suisse

Category: Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Video

Low Interest Rates and Financial Stability

Category: Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Think Tank

Interest Rates Aren’t Going Anywhere . . .

Source: BAML, Fiscal Times     I have been fairly agnostic on several issues related to where interest rates are heading. It has never been my job to forecast where the 10-year yield will be in six months. Not predicting and not caring are two very different things, however. Rates matter a great deal — to investors, to the economy…Read More

Category: Credit, Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Psychology, Really, really bad calls, Taxes and Policy

3-D View of the Yield Curve

Fabulous graphic from the NYT:   Source: The Upshot

Category: Cycles, Digital Media, Fixed Income/Interest Rates

The Great Global Sovereign Bond Shortage

Expectations of economists and pundits notwithstanding, interest rates are falling around the world. Despite the end of quantitative easing in the U.S., and the possibility that the Federal Reserve will raise rates later this year, the long-feared economy-killing yield spike has yet to appear. During the past few months, I have been discussing this with…Read More

Category: Credit, Fixed Income/Interest Rates

Bonds, DST, Howard Stern & Other Randomness

Between a Tweet and a full column is a netherworld where ideas often get lost. Rather than let these tweener concepts slip through the cracks, now and again I like to gather them in one place (see, e.g., this) — if only to see if any discernible patterns emerge. Here’s my latest run of random ideas: 1. Is there a shortage of A-rated…Read More

Category: Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Humor, Investing

Interesting analysis from Torsten Sløk of Deutsche Bank:   Source: Torsten Sløk, Ph.D., Deutsche Bank Research

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates