Posts filed under “IPOs”
The ongoing decline in Facebook stock is little more than a reassessment of the private market’s valuation — now recognized as somewhere between wildly optimistic and clinically insane.
Bloomberg calls Facebook the “the worst-performing large initial public offering during the past decade” losing more than 20% in the 10 days since the IPO.
Click to enlarge:
As Facebook’s IPO opened, real-time data feed (and HFT critic) Nanex Research noticed a strange anomaly: A Crossed market. This occurs whenever the Bid price is higher than the Offer (the spread is inverted).
What might be the source of this? Take a wild guess:
This also brings another example of the dangers of placing a blind, mindless emphasis on speed above everything else. Algos reacting to prices created by other algos reacting to prices created by still other algos. Somewhere along the way, it has to start with a price based on economic reality. But the algos at the bottom of the intelligence chain can’t waste precious milliseconds for that. They are built to simply react faster than the other guys algos. Why? Because the other guy figured out how to go faster! We don’t need this in our markets. We need more intelligence. The economic and psychological costs stemming from Facebook not getting the traditional opening day pop are impossible to measure. That it may have been caused by algos reacting to a stuck quote from one exchange is not, sadly, surprising anymore.
Ironically, the NASDAQ’s clients are no longer the investing public, but rather are HFTs. Whiole most people look at this as a black idea, I suspect the Nazz’ accountants think its much ad o about nothing . . .
More charts after the jump
Bart Chilton, a commissioner at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, talks about delays in Facebook Inc.’s first day of trading and the impact of high-frequency transactions on stock exchanges. Nasdaq OMX Group Inc., under scrutiny after shares of Facebook were hit by delays and mishandled orders on its first day, blamed “poor design” in the software it uses for driving auctions in initial public offerings. Chilton speaks with Cory Johnson on Bloomberg Television’s “Bloomberg West.”
Source: Bloomberg May 21 2012
Amid allegations of selective disclosure of information and technical problems on the NASDAQ, Facebook’s initial public offering has led to a flurry of litigation. According to Roben Farzad and Josh Brown, however, the missteps are unlikely to lead to any meaningful regulatory reform. Roben is a senior writer at Bloomberg Businessweek and Josh is a financial advisor at Fusion Analytics. They talk with Bloomberg Law’s Lee Pacchia.
Bloomberg Law, May 24 2012
(Are we sick of discussing this yet?)
Market strategist Barry Ritholtz explains his views on the Facebook IPO debacle and why the social-networking company has no one to blame but itself for the mess due its greed, which he describes as not that far below that of Bernie Madoff.
5/24/2012 4:52:31 PM
Did Facebook Feed Inside Information to the Big Boys … While Leaving the Individual Investor In the Dark?
Reader McFid – who has been a breach of fiduciary duty expert since 2003 – sent me the following article:
Today, The Daily Beast reports that certain underwriters may have lowered their revenue projections prior to the IPO AND may have informed some investors; but not all investors. I was jammed up last week and could not get the fact out of my mind that while on the road show that there would be private one-on-ones for certain investors. The general road shows surface questions, many questions over and over; there is no doubt that these questions (I wasn’t there) were laser focused on revenues; whether new models compared to pre-IPO or ARPU (average revenue per user). The private one-on-ones cast extreme scrutiny on revenue numbers and assumptions – past present and future. NO DOUBT: When underwriters, no doubt listening, perhaps bristling and responding to potential investor’s questions, probes and scrutiny – likely, as is often the case when more than two people look at the same set of numbers, raised some hard-to-dispose-of aka troubling issues causing them (apparently) to adjust projections DOWN; but they decided not to disseminate that to ALL investors. What are the future prospects? Some may ask with approximately 800 million users how many more would sign up in the future? And given the anti-climactic IPO fallout how many will remain active, revenue paying users? Facebook’s tagline ironically is, I believe, to promote a more open, transparent and connected world. Really? There can’t be a more prominent example … of information assymetry; unequal, untimely and incomplete information – perhaps knowing, willful and intentional and approaching recission of all those IPO allocations – si?
Morgan Stanley selectively disclosed the change in Facebook estimates.
Business Insider confirms that this might be a big story:
The analysts cut their estimates because a Facebook executive told them to, a source tells us.
The information about the estimate cut was then verbally conveyed to sophisticated institutional investors who were considering buying Facebook stock, but not to smaller investors.
The estimate cut appears to have influenced the investment decisions of at least some institutional investors, dampening their appetite for Facebook stock, and crucially affecting the price at which they were willing to buy Facebook stock.
As I described earlier, at best, this “selective disclosure” is grossly unfair to individual investors who bought Facebook stock on the IPO (or at any time since).
At worst, it’s a violation of securities laws.
This latest chapter in the Facebook IPO story began this morning, when Reuters’ Alistair Barr reported that the research analysts at the company’s lead underwriters—Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan—had cut their earnings estimates for Facebook during the company’s IPO roadshow. This was highly unusual, if not unprecedented (I’ve been in and around the tech IPO business for almost 20 years, and I’ve never heard of it happening.)
What a piece of work is a man, how noble in reason, how infinite in faculties, in form and moving how express and admirable, in action how like an angel, in apprehension how like a god! the beauty of the world, the paragon of animals—and yet, to me, what is this quintessence of dust? Man…Read More
Given the insane hype surrounding the Facebook IPO, it should really have come as no surprise to anyone that it’s being perceived as a massive flop. (A search at the NY Times website turns up no articles about Cisco Systems 1990 Initial Public Offering (Feb 16, 1990 at a split-adjusted price of $0.06); it does…Read More