Posts filed under “Markets”
China is on the verge of breaking out from its pattern of consolidation, at least according to the monthly chart book from the analytics team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
If you look at the chart above you can see that the Shanghai Composite Index is in the midst of transitioning into an upward trend. Stephen Suttmeier, a technical research analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, notes that we’ve reached the end of a five year downtrend and are set up for a breakout.
Amid a wealth of potential problems, markets are now close to record highs. Military conflicts in Syria, Iraq, Gaza and Ukraine are an unending source of concern. Domestically, economic growth remains below potential. The civil strife in Ferguson, Missouri, reveals the U.S. to be a nation even more divided than previously thought by many. At…Read More
For data buffs: Stephen Suttmeier of BAML points put that this is the 5th-longest S&P 500 streak above the 200-day MA going back to 1928. “The S&P 500 Index moved above its 200-day moving average on November 19, 2012 and has not closed below it on a daily basis for 21 months. The record is…Read More
Many years ago, when I was a poor and humble graduate student, I taught the prep course for students taking the GMATs and LSATs. I understood the internal logic and game theory needed to succeed on standardized tests, and could explain techniques used to do well on them. One of the keys to succeeding on…Read More
One of the concerns for investors is how markets keep powering higher despite all of the geopolitical turmoil: The grinding Syrian civil war that has spilled into Iraq, the clash between Israel and Gaza, the Crimea annexation and now the confrontation between Russia and Ukraine. That thinking gets the issue precisely backward. The proper question…Read More
Succinct Summations Week Ending August 15th Positives: 1. The S&P 500 gained 1.4% on the week and is just 1.5% off the all-time highs. 2. NFIB small business optimism rose to 95.7, up from95 previously. 3. U.K. unemployment fell to 6.4%, the lowest level since ’08. 4. Consumer confidence in Japan rose to an 8-month…Read More
On this date 32 years ago, the New York Times included the following paragraph in an article titled, “Dark Days On Wall Street.” In the past two weeks, all the market averages have plunged to new lows as Wall Street, beset by cruel economic news from all sides, has time after time been unable to…Read More
Welcoming Remarks at Workshop on the Risks of Wholesale Funding August 13, 2014 William C. Dudley, President and Chief Executive Officer Remarks at the Workshop on the Risks of Wholesale Funding, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City As prepared for delivery* It is a pleasure to welcome you to the New…Read More