Posts filed under “Markets”


Source: Societe General, BlackRock

Category: Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Markets

Where Did All the Bulls Go?

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch, Global Research, Bloomberg   Continues here      

Category: Markets, Sentiment

Rising Rates Unliklely to Kill This Bull Market

One of the oldest rules on Wall Street is, don’t fight the Fed. When the Federal Reserve is cutting rates, you want to be long equities, and when it is tightening, get out of the way. This has been a cause for concern since the Fed began talking of tapering its program of quantitative easing…Read More

Category: Federal Reserve, Fixed Income/Interest Rates, Investing, Markets

Succinct Summations of Week Events 7.25.14

Succinct Summations week ending July 25th 2014 Positives: 1. S&P 500 made a new all-time highs. 2. US Initial jobless claims came in at 284k well below the 307k expected and the lowest reading since February ‘06. 3. Existing home sales came in at 5.04M annualized, better than expected. May numbers were also revised higher….Read More

Category: Markets

Does Increased M&A = Potential Market Top ?

FT: When investors are complacent, stupid deals happen Source: FT     Last week, I pointed out some statistical errors in a chart suggesting that Rupert Murdoch’s bid for Time Warner was a sign of the market’s top. The chart had enough omissions to render it useless. Today, I want to show you a (slightly)…Read More

Category: M&A, Markets, Sentiment

Kiron Sarkar’s Weekly Report 19.7.14

China’s GDP rose by a better than expected +7.5% in Q2 Y/Y and was welcomed by markets. The improvement reflects the stimulus programme undertaken by the government and the sharp rise in lending, once again, as a result of government policy. The government’s actions suggests that they will continue with their stimulus programme/increased lending if…Read More

Category: Markets, Think Tank

Succinct Summation of Week’s Events July 18 2014

Succinct Summations week ending July 18th Positives: 1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new all-time high. 2. NAHB home builder sentiment rose to 53 vs  the 50 expected. 3. Jobless claims hit a nine-week low, down to 302k. 4. NY manufacturing survey rose to 25.6, the highest level since ’10. 5. Jobless claims…Read More

Category: Markets

10 Tuesday PM Reads

My afternoon train reads : • Hedge funds miss out on equity surge (FT) • Investors Still Love The Thrill of the Chase (Investing Caffeine) see also Quantum math makes human irrationality more sensible (Science News) • Here’s why Larry Summers is wrong about secular stagnation (WonkBlog) • Nocera: Helping Big Companies Compete (NY Times)…Read More

Category: Markets

Succinct Summation on Week’s Events July 11 2014

Succinct Summations week ending July 11th Positives: 1. Despite a nasty opening on Wednesday, the S&P 500 is less than 1% away from its all-time high. 2. Japanese consumer confidence rose to 41.1 from 39.3, the highest of the year. 3. Average gas price is down to $3.64, the lowest levels since April 4. The…Read More

Category: Markets

It’s a Bubble! It’s a Recession! It’s a Crash!

When was the last time anyone got good investing advice from the front page of a newspaper or magazine or from a television pundit? That is the question I have been pondering during this market cycle. Whether it is the price of equities or the state of the economy, I have grave reservations about relying…Read More

Category: Cognitive Foibles, Financial Press, Markets, Psychology, UnGuru