Posts filed under “Markets”

Astonishing New Discovery!

I’m listening to CNBC’s discussion of today’s sell off, and I am astonished to learn that there is Inflation and a Slowing Economy!

Of course, those topics have been discussed in these pages for nearly a year now. The issue with these macro-economic concerns is ALWAYS one of timing. Why? You cannot trade off of macro-economics unless you have a  v e r y  long time horizon. It takes months, quarters and sometimes years for economic issues to work their way thru to the kinda-sorta-eventually-mostly efficient markets. Thats why mating technicals to macro-economics gives you a glimpse into both the longer and shorter term events.

As to today’s issues:  I hate to be blunt, but if on April 20, 2005, you are first discovering that this economy has inflationary pressure –  more than 2 years after the CRB rally began — then Lucy, you have some splainin’ to do.

Just discover GDP has been slowing? (duh) Follow the numbers: Q3 ’03=7.4% (originally reported as almost 9%), Q4 ’03 4.2% (orig 6+%), then 2004 Q1-4 data: 4.5, 3.3, 4.0, 3.8.

I plan on addressing the problems investors face when trying to balance these competing, and often contradictory, time frame issues.

Category: Economy, Investing, Markets

PPI and Market Performance

Category: Economy, Markets

Understanding The “Kitchen Sink Economy”

Category: Economy, Markets

Chart of the Week: NYSE Member Firms’ Client Margin

Category: Markets, Trading

Margin Calls and Behavior Shift

Category: Markets, Trading

Invisible Hand

Category: Markets

Mystery of the Awful Economists (Part III)

Category: Commodities, Economy, Markets

Confirmation Day? No

Category: Markets, Psychology

New Column up at Real Money (04/11/05)

Category: Investing, Markets

The Bubble in Bubbles

Category: Markets, Psychology